Will Meta say “Election”?
Meta did not say “Election” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 1, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Meta said “Election” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 30, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 31% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- company speakers
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Meta
Election
- Probability
- 31% · n=1
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…Q4 with the exception of politics as we lap the US presidential election last year. The online commerce vertical was the largest contributor to year-over-year…
Counts: company speakers
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…and politics vertical dropped sharply as expected with the conclusion of U.S. elections and but that continues to just be a very small vertical overall.…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2025 | Election |  Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
Questions
- How many times did Meta say “Election” on its last earnings call?
- Meta did not say “Election” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 1, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0 times.
- How often does Meta say “Election”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Meta said “Election” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 30, 2025.
- What is the probability Meta says “Election” next time?
- 31%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers.
Cite parrot.markets, “Meta: ‘Election’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/META/words/election (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=meta&word=election · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=meta&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP