Will Macy's say “Headwind”?

Macy's said “Headwind” 4 times on its Sep 10, 2026 call (FY27 Q2), and on 5 of its last 8 calls: 1, 0, 0, 0, 2, 1, 2, 4 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Macy's said “Headwind” on 2 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jun 3, 2026 (100%), most recently on Sep 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 79% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

79%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=2counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
Streak
said the last 2 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Macy's

Headwind

Probability
79% · n=2
Settled
2/2 (100%)
Last calls
said in 4 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY27 Q2 earnings call, Sep 10, 2026 · said 4 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

3 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Tom EdwardscompanypreparedIn transcript

…We now forecast full year combined tariff and fuel gross margin net headwind of 5 basis points-15 basis points, compared to prior guidance of 20…

Tom EdwardscompanypreparedIn transcript

…program expansion, strengthen our value proposition, and mitigate the uncertainty of fuel headwinds. Now moving to guidance. For the full year, we are raising our…

Every match in the transcript

FY27 Q1 earnings call, Jun 3, 2026 · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Tom EdwardscompanyqaIn transcript

…Happy to. For fuel costs, we expect them to be a full-year headwind of about 10 basis points-20 basis points, and that's on a fuel…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q4 earnings call, Mar 18, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Blake AndersonanalystqaIn transcript

…ability for Macy's, Inc. to be more resilient going forward despite the headwinds to the consumer? What gives you confidence you can continue to build…

Not counted under the usual rule (company speakers + operator); this word was not listed here.

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Dec 3, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Sep 3, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, May 28, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Mar 6, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q3 earnings call, Dec 11, 2024 · said 1 time (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Sep 10, 2026HeadwindPolymarketYes4
Sep 10, 2026HeadwindKalshiYes3
Jun 3, 2026HeadwindKalshiYes1

Questions

How many times did Macy's say “Headwind” on its last earnings call?
Macy's said “Headwind” 4 times on its Sep 10, 2026 call (FY27 Q2), and on 5 of its last 8 calls: 1, 0, 0, 0, 2, 1, 2, 4 times.
How often does Macy's say “Headwind”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Macy's said “Headwind” on 2 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jun 3, 2026 (100%), most recently on Sep 10, 2026.
What is the probability Macy's says “Headwind” next time?
79%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Macy's: ‘Headwind’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/M/words/headwind (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=macys&word=headwind · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=macys&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP