Will Figma say “Inference”?

Figma said “Inference” 4 times on its Aug 5, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on each of its last 5 calls: 3, 3, 1, 4, 4 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Figma said “Inference” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 5, 2026 (50%), most recently on Aug 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 81% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

81%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=2Next: Earnings call, Nov 4, 2026 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
70¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Figma

Inference

Probability
81% · n=2
Settled
1/2 (50%)
Last calls
said in 5 of 5

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 · said 4 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

4 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Praveer MelwanicompanypreparedIn transcript

…of our first full quarter of AI credit monetization. Looking ahead, we have a clear set of tools to manage inference costs as adoption scales.

Praveer MelwanicompanypreparedIn transcript

…products that are currently in beta, and we bear the cost of inference without offsetting consumption revenue. As a result, gross margin will vary from…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q1 earnings call, May 14, 2026 · said 4 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

4 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A).

Praveer MelwanicompanypreparedIn transcript

…gains where available and have a clear set of levers to manage inference costs as adoption scales. This includes routing queries across models based on…

Dylan FieldcompanyqaIn transcript

…aspect of your question around, you know, when does a user choose inference versus when do they choose doing direct editing, this is something that…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 18, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Praveer MelwanicompanypreparedIn transcript

…midpoint. In 2026, we plan to accelerate our investment in AI and inference, while building a world class team and go-to-market motion. As a reminder,…

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Nov 5, 2025 · said 3 times (counts)

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Sep 3, 2025 · said 3 times (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Sep 8, 2026InferenceKalshiNo–
Aug 5, 2026InferenceKalshiYes4

Questions

How many times did Figma say “Inference” on its last earnings call?
Figma said “Inference” 4 times on its Aug 5, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on each of its last 5 calls: 3, 3, 1, 4, 4 times.
How often does Figma say “Inference”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Figma said “Inference” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 5, 2026 (50%), most recently on Aug 5, 2026.
What is the probability Figma says “Inference” next time?
81%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Figma: ‘Inference’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/FIG/words/inference (CC BY 4.0)

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