Will FedEx say “Smith”?

FedEx said “Smith” 1 time on its Jun 23, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), and on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 4, 0, 3, 3, 1 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, FedEx said “Smith” on 3 of 4 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 18, 2025 (75%), most recently on Jun 23, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 71% (n=4, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

71%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=4counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
3/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 3 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

FedEx

Smith

Probability
71% · n=4
Settled
3/4 (75%)
Last calls
said in 4 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q4 earnings call, Jun 23, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Raj Subramaniamcompanyprepared · 4:54Hear it 4:48, Raj Subramaniam In transcript

…Freight is extremely well-positioned as an independent company, and I wish John Smith and the Freight team the very best. Now turning to our full-year…

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Mar 19, 2026 · said 3 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

3 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

John DietrichcompanypreparedIn transcript

…our last earnings call before the spin-off, we've invited Freight's CEO, John Smith; and CFO, Marshall Witt, to join us today to participate in the…

Marshall WittcompanyqaIn transcript

…this is Marshall. I'll start and then pitch it over to John Smith if he has any follow-up questions. So good observation. Generally, at the…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Dec 18, 2025 · said 3 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

3 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).

John DietrichcompanypreparedIn transcript

…hosting an Investor Day in New York City on April 8. John Smith and his team look forward to unveiling for you FedEx Freight's forward-looking…

Raj SubramaniamcompanyqaIn transcript

…rename the Memphis International Airport in honor of our founder, Frederick W. Smith. It's a fitting tribute to the man who launched FedEx a company…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Sep 18, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jun 24, 2025 · said 4 times (counts)

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Mar 20, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Dec 19, 2024 · not said

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Sep 19, 2024 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 5 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jun 23, 2026SmithKalshiYes1
Mar 19, 2026SmithKalshiYes3
Dec 18, 2025SmithPolymarketYes3
Dec 18, 2025SmithKalshiYes3
Sep 18, 2025SmithKalshiNo0

Questions

How many times did FedEx say “Smith” on its last earnings call?
FedEx said “Smith” 1 time on its Jun 23, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), and on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 4, 0, 3, 3, 1 times.
How often does FedEx say “Smith”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, FedEx said “Smith” on 3 of 4 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 18, 2025 (75%), most recently on Jun 23, 2026.
What is the probability FedEx says “Smith” next time?
71%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “FedEx: ‘Smith’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/FDX/words/smith (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fedex&word=smith · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fedex&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP