Will FedEx say “Guidance”?

FedEx said “Guidance” 2 times on its Jun 23, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), and on 7 of its last 8 calls: 4, 2, 2, 1, 2, 2, 0, 2 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, FedEx said “Guidance” on 3 of 4 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 18, 2025 (75%), most recently on Jun 23, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 74% (n=4, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

74%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=4Next: Earnings call, Oct 28, 2026 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
3/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
87¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

FedEx

Guidance

Probability
74% · n=4
Settled
3/4 (75%)
Last calls
said in 7 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q4 earnings call, Jun 23, 2026 · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

2 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Claude Russcompanyqa · 50:28Hear it 50:27, Claude Russ In transcript

…freight, how we're accounting for that. That is not included in our guidance. On an ongoing basis, we will be required each quarter to mark…

Claude Russcompanyqa · 54:23Hear it 54:22, Claude Russ In transcript

I appreciate it. As we think about the overall guidance that we've given you with both op profit and op margin improving for the transition…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Mar 19, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q2 earnings call, Dec 18, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

2 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Brandon OglenskicompanyqaIn transcript

…thanks for taking the question. Johnny, you just covered a lot in guidance there, and I'm sure we'll have plenty of questions on it. But…

John DietrichcompanyqaIn transcript

…regard to your question on Q3, I'm not going to give Q3 guidance. But what I can tell you is that the Q3 adjusted EPS…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Sep 18, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

2 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

John DietrichcompanyqaIn transcript

…the Q2. And we have focused our commentary on the full year guidance and are not giving Q2 guidance. But that said, as Brie mentioned,…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jun 24, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Mar 20, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Dec 19, 2024 · said 2 times (counts)

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Sep 19, 2024 · said 4 times (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 5 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jun 23, 2026GuidanceKalshiYes2
Mar 19, 2026GuidanceKalshiNo0
Dec 18, 2025GuidancePolymarketYes3
Dec 18, 2025GuidanceKalshiYes2
Sep 18, 2025GuidanceKalshiYes2

Questions

How many times did FedEx say “Guidance” on its last earnings call?
FedEx said “Guidance” 2 times on its Jun 23, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), and on 7 of its last 8 calls: 4, 2, 2, 1, 2, 2, 0, 2 times.
How often does FedEx say “Guidance”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, FedEx said “Guidance” on 3 of 4 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 18, 2025 (75%), most recently on Jun 23, 2026.
What is the probability FedEx says “Guidance” next time?
74%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “FedEx: ‘Guidance’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/FDX/words/guidance (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fedex&word=guidance · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fedex&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP