Will FedEx say “Dividend”?

FedEx said “Dividend” 5 times on its Jun 23, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), and on 7 of its last 8 calls: 0, 1, 1, 3, 2, 1, 1, 5 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, FedEx said “Dividend” on 3 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Dec 18, 2025 (100%), most recently on Jun 23, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 83% (n=3, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

83%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=3Next: Earnings call, Oct 28, 2026 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 3 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
87¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

FedEx

Dividend

Probability
83% · n=3
Settled
3/3 (100%)
Last calls
said in 7 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q4 earnings call, Jun 23, 2026 · said 5 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

5 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).

Claude Russcompanyprepared · 25:40Hear it 25:39, Claude Russ In transcript

…cash flow growth supports our capital returns framework. We recently increased our dividend by 5% after adjusting for the FedEx Freight spin-off, making this the…

Claude Russcompanyprepared · 26:49Hear it 26:43, Claude Russ In transcript

…Going forward, we will continue a balanced approach to capital allocation across dividends, share repurchases, pension contributions, and strategic growth investments. Now I'll walk you…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Mar 19, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

John DietrichcompanypreparedIn transcript

…in January, and this was an important milestone as freight intends to dividend the net proceeds to FedEx Corp. in connection with the spin-off. And…

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Dec 18, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

John DietrichcompanypreparedIn transcript

…opportunistically purchased nearly $300 million worth of stock which alongside our increased dividend payout demonstrates our commitment to returning cash to stockholders. We have $1.3…

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Sep 18, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jun 24, 2025 · said 3 times (counts)

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Mar 20, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Dec 19, 2024 · said 1 time (counts)

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Sep 19, 2024 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 4 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jun 23, 2026DividendKalshiYes5
Mar 19, 2026DividendKalshiYes1
Dec 18, 2025DividendPolymarketYes1
Dec 18, 2025DividendKalshiYes1

Questions

How many times did FedEx say “Dividend” on its last earnings call?
FedEx said “Dividend” 5 times on its Jun 23, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), and on 7 of its last 8 calls: 0, 1, 1, 3, 2, 1, 1, 5 times.
How often does FedEx say “Dividend”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, FedEx said “Dividend” on 3 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Dec 18, 2025 (100%), most recently on Jun 23, 2026.
What is the probability FedEx says “Dividend” next time?
83%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “FedEx: ‘Dividend’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/FDX/words/dividend (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fedex&word=dividend · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fedex&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP