Will FedEx say “De Minimis”?
FedEx said “De Minimis” 1 time on its Jun 23, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), and on 6 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 4, 1, 6, 1, 1, 1 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, FedEx said “De Minimis” on 4 of 4 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 18, 2025 (100%), most recently on Jun 23, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 82% (n=4, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 4/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 4 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 83¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
FedEx
De Minimis
- Probability
- 82% · n=4
- Settled
- 4/4 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 6 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…them. They faced the largest headwind from the tariff environment and the de minimis, and we've now had two consecutive quarters of international volume growth,…
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…yield grew 6%, driven by higher weight per shipment tied to the de minimis change, favorable currency and revenue quality actions. At FedEx Freight, revenue…
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…driven by revenue quality action, higher weight per shipment tied to the de minimis change, plus favorable currency. At FedEx Freight, revenue per shipment increased…
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 23, 2026 | De Minimis |  Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Mar 19, 2026 | De Minimis | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Dec 18, 2025 | De Minimis |  Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Dec 18, 2025 | De Minimis | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Sep 18, 2025 | De Minimis | Kalshi | Yes | 6 |
Questions
- How many times did FedEx say “De Minimis” on its last earnings call?
- FedEx said “De Minimis” 1 time on its Jun 23, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), and on 6 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 4, 1, 6, 1, 1, 1 times.
- How often does FedEx say “De Minimis”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, FedEx said “De Minimis” on 4 of 4 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 18, 2025 (100%), most recently on Jun 23, 2026.
- What is the probability FedEx says “De Minimis” next time?
- 82%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “FedEx: ‘De Minimis’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/FDX/words/de-minimis (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fedex&word=de%20minimis · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fedex&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP