Will FedEx say “China”?
FedEx did not say “China” on its Jun 23, 2026 call (FY26 Q4); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 7, 8, 1, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, FedEx did not say “China” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jun 23, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 51% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 35¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
FedEx
China
- Probability
- 51% · n=1
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…expected, international export volumes declined, driven again by lower volumes on the China to US lane. Raj mentioned how we're shifting some capacity to the…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
8 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 4 in Q&A).
…a significant portion of our de minimis volume exposure previously came from China, we were able to use learnings from our experiences in May to…
…trends we saw in May, international export volumes declined, particularly on the China to U.S. lane. Knowing our strongest international lane would be under pressure.…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
7 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.
…and as a result, volume softened. In early May, upon tariff implementation, China to US volumes deteriorated sharply. And remained weak throughout the rest of…
…incremental pressure to US domestic demand. Internationally, we expect revenue from the China to US lane to remain pressured consistent with what we saw exiting…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 23, 2026 | China |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How many times did FedEx say “China” on its last earnings call?
- FedEx did not say “China” on its Jun 23, 2026 call (FY26 Q4); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 7, 8, 1, 0, 0 times.
- How often does FedEx say “China”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, FedEx did not say “China” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jun 23, 2026.
- What is the probability FedEx says “China” next time?
- 51%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “FedEx: ‘China’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/FDX/words/china (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fedex&word=china · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fedex&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP