Will eBay say “Guaranteed Fit”?

EBay said “Guaranteed Fit” 1 time on its Aug 5, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 5 of its last 8 calls: 1, 0, 0, 0, 1, 1, 4, 1 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, eBay said “Guaranteed Fit” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 75% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

75%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1Next: Earnings call, Oct 28, 2026 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
77¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

eBay

Guaranteed Fit

Probability
75% · n=1
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last calls
said in 5 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Jamie Iannonecompanyprepared · 6:59Hear it 6:57, Jamie Iannone In transcript

…buyers shop for auto parts on eBay. In Canada, we launched eBay Guaranteed Fit, extending fitment protection to a fifth eBay market. We also brought…

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 29, 2026 · said 4 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

4 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).

Jamie Iannonecompanyprepared · 6:55Hear it 6:55, Jamie Iannone In transcript

…approximately 2 points of growth to our overall marketplace in Q1. Our Guaranteed Fit program has meaningfully increased conversion on fitment-enabled listings in the U.S.,…

Jamie Iannonecompanyqa · 53:07Hear it 53:01, Jamie Iannone In transcript

…of authentication centers, our suite of proprietary global shipping solutions, regulatory compliance, guaranteed fit, just to name a few, all of these provide a trusted…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 18, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Jamie IannonecompanypreparedIn transcript

…sellers, we are reducing friction while expanding the inventory backed by our guaranteed fit protection. Our easy and free returns program also continues to drive…

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 29, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 31, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Apr 30, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Feb 26, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q3 earnings call, Oct 30, 2024 · said 1 time (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Aug 5, 2026Guaranteed FitKalshiYes1

Questions

How many times did eBay say “Guaranteed Fit” on its last earnings call?
EBay said “Guaranteed Fit” 1 time on its Aug 5, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 5 of its last 8 calls: 1, 0, 0, 0, 1, 1, 4, 1 times.
How often does eBay say “Guaranteed Fit”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, eBay said “Guaranteed Fit” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 5, 2026.
What is the probability eBay says “Guaranteed Fit” next time?
75%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “eBay: ‘Guaranteed Fit’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/EBAY/words/guaranteed-fit (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=ebay&word=guaranteed%20fit · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=ebay&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP