Will Boeing say “Commercial”?

Boeing said “Commercial” 12 times on its Jul 28, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on each of its last 8 calls: 13, 15, 12, 16, 12, 19, 10, 12 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Boeing said “Commercial” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 28, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 95% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

95%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1counts: anyone
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
anyone
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Boeing

Commercial

Probability
95% · n=1
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last calls
said in 8 of 8

Next listing counts: anyone

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 28, 2026 · said 12 times (counts)

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Counts: anyone

12 counted (10 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).

Kelly Ortbergcompanyprepared · 2:06Hear it 2:06, Kelly Ortberg In transcript

Our commercial certification programs, a key focus for us this year, remain on plan, and I'm proud of our team's dedication to complete the certification…

Kelly Ortbergcompanyprepared · 3:49Hear it 3:44, Kelly Ortberg In transcript

…now take a closer look at our businesses, and we'll start with commercial airplanes. As we've said all year long, completing the certification work on…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 22, 2026 · said 10 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

9 counted (8 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Robert OrtbergcompanypreparedIn transcript

…building momentum from solid performance across all 3 of our businesses. Our Commercial Airplanes team continues to integrate our safety and quality plan into its…

Robert OrtbergcompanypreparedIn transcript

…impact on our airplane deliveries. As always, we stay close to our commercial customers if they make adjustments to their plans, in which case, I…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jan 27, 2026 · said 19 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

19 counted (15 in prepared remarks, 4 in Q&A).

Kelly OrtbergcompanypreparedIn transcript

…that position us well for moving forward. In 2025, we methodically increased commercial production guided by our safety and quality plan. This enabled our team…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 29, 2025 · said 12 times (counts)

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 29, 2025 · said 16 times (counts)

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Apr 23, 2025 · said 12 times (counts)

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Jan 28, 2025 · said 15 times (counts)

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FY24 Q3 earnings call, Oct 23, 2024 · said 13 times (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jul 28, 2026CommercialPolymarketYes12

Questions

How many times did Boeing say “Commercial” on its last earnings call?
Boeing said “Commercial” 12 times on its Jul 28, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on each of its last 8 calls: 13, 15, 12, 16, 12, 19, 10, 12 times.
How often does Boeing say “Commercial”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Boeing said “Commercial” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 28, 2026.
What is the probability Boeing says “Commercial” next time?
95%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: anyone.

Cite parrot.markets, “Boeing: ‘Commercial’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/BA/words/commercial (CC BY 4.0)

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