Will Boeing say “China”?
Boeing did not say “China” on its Jul 28, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 6 of its last 8 calls: 1, 1, 25, 2, 0, 2, 2, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Boeing said “China” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 22, 2026 (50%), most recently on Apr 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 50% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 49¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Boeing
China
- Probability
- 50% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last calls
- said in 6 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
2 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
Well, let me specifically address the China order. I think that's 100% dependent on the U.S.-China negotiations and relations. As you know, there's a big…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).
…know, we were shut down for a little while and deliveries into China. That got resolved, we got the deliveries done. We do have about…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…prior to 2023, down 15 from 1Q, which are for customers in China. We now expect to complete the rework on these airplanes and shut…
…making sure that we don't end up back in retaliatory tariffs with China. So we are making deliveries, as you know, right now, and hopefully,…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
Polymarket
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did Boeing say “China” on its last earnings call?
- Boeing did not say “China” on its Jul 28, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 6 of its last 8 calls: 1, 1, 25, 2, 0, 2, 2, 0 times.
- How often does Boeing say “China”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Boeing said “China” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 22, 2026 (50%), most recently on Apr 22, 2026.
- What is the probability Boeing says “China” next time?
- 50%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Boeing: ‘China’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/BA/words/china (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=boeing&word=china · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=boeing&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP