Will Apple say “Shutdown / Shut Down”?

Apple did not say “Shutdown / Shut Down” on its Jul 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), or on any of its last 8 calls. As of Oct 24, 2026, Apple did not say “Shutdown / Shut Down” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 30, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 13% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

13%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Apple

Shutdown / Shut Down

Probability
13% · n=1
Settled
0/1 (0%)
Last calls
said in 0 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Jul 30, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q2 earnings call, Apr 30, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q1 earnings call, Jan 29, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Oct 30, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Jul 31, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, May 1, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Jan 30, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Oct 31, 2024 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 30, 2025Shutdown / Shut DownPolymarketNo0
Oct 30, 2025Shutdown / Shut DownKalshiNo0

Questions

How many times did Apple say “Shutdown / Shut Down” on its last earnings call?
Apple did not say “Shutdown / Shut Down” on its Jul 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), or on any of its last 8 calls.
How often does Apple say “Shutdown / Shut Down”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Apple did not say “Shutdown / Shut Down” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 30, 2025.
What is the probability Apple says “Shutdown / Shut Down” next time?
13%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Apple: ‘Shutdown / Shut Down’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/AAPL/words/shut-down-or-shutdown (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=apple&word=shut%20down%20%2F%20shutdown · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=apple&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP