Will Walmart say “Upper Income”?

Walmart did not say “Upper Income” on its Aug 20, 2026 call (FY27 Q2); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 1, 1, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Walmart did not say “Upper Income” at any of the 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 20, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 16% (n=4, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

16%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=4Next: Earnings call, Nov 19, 2026 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
0/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no
Streak
not said the last 4 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
46¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Walmart

Upper Income

Probability
16% · n=4
Settled
0/4 (0%)
Last calls
said in 3 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY27 Q2 earnings call, Aug 20, 2026 · not said

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FY27 Q1 earnings call, May 21, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q4 earnings call, Feb 19, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q3 earnings call, Nov 20, 2025 · not said

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FY26 Q2 earnings call, Aug 21, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

John David RaineycompanypreparedIn transcript

…Reflecting ongoing share gains across key categories and all income cohorts. With upper-income households contributing the largest gains. Customers are responding as we lean into…

FY26 Q1 earnings call, May 15, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 20, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

John David RaineycompanypreparedIn transcript

…the low single digits. We're seeing higher engagement across income cohorts with upper income households continuing to account for the majority of share gains. Our…

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Nov 19, 2024 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A); 3 by speakers the rule does not count.

John David RaineycompanypreparedIn transcript

…in the low-single digits. We're seeing higher engagement across income cohorts with upper income households continuing to account for the majority of our share gains.…

Robbie OhmsanalystqaIn transcript

…you. I get a lot of questions on the share gains with upper income consumers you guys keep talking about. I was hoping you could…

Not counted under the usual rule (company speakers + operator); this word was not listed here.

Every match in the transcript

Every settled listing

newest first · 5 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Aug 20, 2026Upper IncomeKalshiNo0
May 21, 2026Upper IncomeKalshiNo0
Feb 19, 2026Upper IncomeKalshiNo0
Nov 20, 2025Upper IncomePolymarketNo0
Nov 20, 2025Upper IncomeKalshiNo0

Questions

How many times did Walmart say “Upper Income” on its last earnings call?
Walmart did not say “Upper Income” on its Aug 20, 2026 call (FY27 Q2); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 1, 1, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0 times.
How often does Walmart say “Upper Income”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Walmart did not say “Upper Income” at any of the 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 20, 2025.
What is the probability Walmart says “Upper Income” next time?
16%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Walmart: ‘Upper Income’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/WMT/words/upper-income (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=walmart&word=upper%20income · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=walmart&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP