Toast (TOST)
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi has settled 14 word markets on Toast’s earnings calls since 2026, on 14 different words. Next call: Nov 3, 2026 (11 words listed).
| Word | Q3’24Nov '24 | Q4’24Feb '25 | Q1’25May '25 | Q2’25Aug '25 | Q3’25year ago | Q4’25Feb '26 | Q1’26May '26 | Q2’26last call | Trend | Last 8 | Scripted | All-time | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toast IQ | 0 times: Toast IQ, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Toast IQ, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 3 times: Toast IQ, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 4 times: Toast IQ, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 17 times: Toast IQ, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 21 times: Toast IQ, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 22 times: Toast IQ, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 22 times: Toast IQ, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 6/875% | 6/875% | 6/2030% | 95%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 80¢ Kalshi |
| Agent / Agentic | 0 times: Agent / Agentic, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Agent / Agentic, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 1 time: Agent / Agentic, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 0 times: Agent / Agentic, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 2 times: Agent / Agentic, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 6 times: Agent / Agentic, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 21 times: Agent / Agentic, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 9 times: Agent / Agentic, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 5/862% | 4/850% | 5/2025% | 90%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 52¢ Kalshi |
| Memory / Chip | 0 times: Memory / Chip, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Memory / Chip, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Memory / Chip, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Memory / Chip, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Memory / Chip, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 4 times: Memory / Chip, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 2 times: Memory / Chip, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 6 times: Memory / Chip, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 3/838% | 3/838% | 4/2020% | 76%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 64¢ Kalshi |
| Tariff | 0 times: Tariff, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Tariff, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 3 times: Tariff, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 3 times: Tariff, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 1 time: Tariff, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 2 times: Tariff, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 1 time: Tariff, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 3 times: Tariff, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 6/875% | 6/875% | 7/2035% | 75%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Buyback / Buy Back | 0 times: Buyback / Buy Back, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Buyback / Buy Back, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Buyback / Buy Back, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Buyback / Buy Back, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Buyback / Buy Back, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 2 times: Buyback / Buy Back, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 0 times: Buyback / Buy Back, Q1’26 May '26 | 1 time: Buyback / Buy Back, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 2/825% | 2/825% | 3/2015% | 46%transcripts from the transcript model | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Resy | 0 times: Resy, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Resy, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Resy, Q1’25 May '25 | 2 times: Resy, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 1 time: Resy, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 0 times: Resy, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 3 times: Resy, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 0 times: Resy, Q2’26 Aug '26 | rising | 3/838% | 2/825% | 3/2015% | 37%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Fraud / Theft | 0 times: Fraud / Theft, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 1 time: Fraud / Theft, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 0 times: Fraud / Theft, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Fraud / Theft, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Fraud / Theft, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Fraud / Theft, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 2 times: Fraud / Theft, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 0 times: Fraud / Theft, Q2’26 Aug '26 | steady | 2/825% | 0/80% | 2/2010% | 27%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Instacart | 0 times: Instacart, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Instacart, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Instacart, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Instacart, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Instacart, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 2 times: Instacart, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 0 times: Instacart, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: Instacart, Q2’26 Aug '26 | rising | 1/812% | 1/812% | 1/205% | 24%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 44¢ Kalshi |
| London | 0 times: London, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: London, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 1 time: London, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 0 times: London, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: London, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: London, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 1 time: London, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 0 times: London, Q2’26 Aug '26 | steady | 2/825% | 0/80% | 3/2015% | 22%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 40¢ Kalshi |
| Uber Eats | 0 times: Uber Eats, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Uber Eats, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Uber Eats, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Uber Eats, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Uber Eats, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Uber Eats, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: Uber Eats, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: Uber Eats, Q2’26 Aug '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 1/205% | 12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 13¢ Kalshi |
| Voice Orderingnever said | 0 times: Voice Ordering, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Voice Ordering, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Voice Ordering, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Voice Ordering, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Voice Ordering, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Voice Ordering, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: Voice Ordering, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: Voice Ordering, Q2’26 Aug '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 0/200% | 12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
- times said on that call
- counted as said (ring)
- no call
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Trend
- how the count moved over these calls
- Scripted
- calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
- All-time
- every call on file
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 22, 2026 23:15 UTC.
Every word
1–4 of 4, most settled first| Word | Q3’24Nov '24 | Q4’24Feb '25 | Q1’25May '25 | Q2’25Aug '25 | Q3’25Nov '25 | Q4’25Feb '26 | Q1’26May '26 | Q2’26last call | Trend | Last 8 | Scripted | All-time | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share Repurchase / Buyback | 1 time: Share Repurchase / Buyback, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 0 times: Share Repurchase / Buyback, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Share Repurchase / Buyback, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Share Repurchase / Buyback, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Share Repurchase / Buyback, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 3 times: Share Repurchase / Buyback, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 1 time: Share Repurchase / Buyback, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 2 times: Share Repurchase / Buyback, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 4/850% | 4/850% | 7/2035% | 68%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Local | 2 times: Local, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 0 times: Local, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 2 times: Local, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 7 times: Local, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 0 times: Local, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 1 time: Local, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 15 times: Local, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 4 times: Local, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 6/875% | 5/862% | 18/2090% | 86%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Hungry Howie’s | 0 times: Hungry Howie’s, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Hungry Howie’s, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Hungry Howie’s, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Hungry Howie’s, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Hungry Howie’s, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Hungry Howie’s, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 1 time: Hungry Howie’s, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 0 times: Hungry Howie’s, Q2’26 Aug '26 | steady | 1/812% | 1/812% | 1/205% | 20%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Preferred | 0 times: Preferred, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Preferred, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Preferred, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Preferred, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Preferred, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Preferred, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 1 time: Preferred, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 0 times: Preferred, Q2’26 Aug '26 | steady | 1/812% | 1/812% | 1/205% | 20%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
- times said on that call
- counted as said (ring)
- no call
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Trend
- how the count moved over these calls
- Scripted
- calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
- All-time
- every call on file
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 12Our transcript counts matched how 14 of 14 settled words resolved (100.0%). How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 14 | 6 yes · 8 no | 14/14 (100%) |
| May 7, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Earnings call FY25 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Nov 4, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Aug 5, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| May 8, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Feb 19, 2025 | Earnings call FY24 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Nov 7, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Aug 6, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| May 7, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Feb 15, 2024 | Earnings call FY23 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Nov 7, 2023 | Earnings call FY23 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “Toast (TOST): earnings call word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/TOST (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/toast · words: /api/v1/history?entity=toast · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP