Talen Energy (TLN)
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi has settled 12 word markets on Talen Energy’s earnings calls since 2026, on 12 different words. Next call: Nov 3, 2026 (11 words listed).
| Word | Q3’24Nov '24 | Q4’24Feb '25 | Q1’25May '25 | Q2’25Aug '25 | Q3’25year ago | Q4’25Feb '26 | Q1’26May '26 | Q2’26last call | Trend | Last 8 | Scripted | All-time | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Behind the Meter | 3 times: Behind the Meter, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 1 time: Behind the Meter, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 1 time: Behind the Meter, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 6 times: Behind the Meter, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 2 times: Behind the Meter, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 2 times: Behind the Meter, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 0 times: Behind the Meter, Q1’26 May '26 | 5 times: Behind the Meter, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | steady | 7/888% | 3/838% | 9/1656% | 80%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Amazon | 4 times: Amazon, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 0 times: Amazon, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 1 time: Amazon, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 4 times: Amazon, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 5 times: Amazon, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 6 times: Amazon, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 1 time: Amazon, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 0 times: Amazon, Q2’26 Aug '26 | steady | 6/875% | 5/862% | 8/1650% | 61%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | 0 times: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Q1’25 May '25 | 2 times: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 0 times: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 1 time: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 3 times: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 0 times: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Q2’26 Aug '26 | rising | 3/838% | 0/80% | 3/1619% | 36%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 34¢ Kalshi |
| SMR / Small Modular Reactor | 1 time: SMR / Small Modular Reactor, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 0 times: SMR / Small Modular Reactor, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: SMR / Small Modular Reactor, Q1’25 May '25 | 7 times: SMR / Small Modular Reactor, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 1 time: SMR / Small Modular Reactor, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 0 times: SMR / Small Modular Reactor, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: SMR / Small Modular Reactor, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: SMR / Small Modular Reactor, Q2’26 Aug '26 | falling | 3/838% | 0/80% | 3/1619% | 29%transcripts from the transcript model | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Shapiro | 0 times: Shapiro, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 2 times: Shapiro, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 0 times: Shapiro, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Shapiro, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 1 time: Shapiro, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 1 time: Shapiro, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 0 times: Shapiro, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: Shapiro, Q2’26 Aug '26 | falling | 3/838% | 2/825% | 3/1619% | 28%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Tailwind | 0 times: Tailwind, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 1 time: Tailwind, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 0 times: Tailwind, Q1’25 May '25 | 1 time: Tailwind, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 0 times: Tailwind, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 1 time: Tailwind, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 0 times: Tailwind, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: Tailwind, Q2’26 Aug '26 | steady | 3/838% | 2/825% | 3/1619% | 23%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 26¢ Kalshi |
| Tariff | 0 times: Tariff, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 1 time: Tariff, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 5 times: Tariff, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 0 times: Tariff, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Tariff, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 1 time: Tariff, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 0 times: Tariff, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: Tariff, Q2’26 Aug '26 | falling | 3/838% | 2/825% | 5/1631% | 23%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Anthropic / Claude | 0 times: Anthropic / Claude, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Anthropic / Claude, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Anthropic / Claude, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Anthropic / Claude, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Anthropic / Claude, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 2 times: Anthropic / Claude, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 0 times: Anthropic / Claude, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: Anthropic / Claude, Q2’26 Aug '26 | rising | 1/812% | 1/812% | 1/166% | 23%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 27¢ Kalshi |
| Solar | 0 times: Solar, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Solar, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Solar, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Solar, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 1 time: Solar, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 0 times: Solar, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: Solar, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: Solar, Q2’26 Aug '26 | steady | 1/812% | 1/812% | 2/1612% | 19%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Bitcoin | 0 times: Bitcoin, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Bitcoin, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Bitcoin, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Bitcoin, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Bitcoin, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Bitcoin, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: Bitcoin, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: Bitcoin, Q2’26 Aug '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 2/1612% | 11%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 14¢ Kalshi |
| Headwindnever said | 0 times: Headwind, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Headwind, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Headwind, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Headwind, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Headwind, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Headwind, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: Headwind, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: Headwind, Q2’26 Aug '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 0/160% | 11%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 16¢ Kalshi |
- times said on that call
- counted as said (ring)
- no call
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Trend
- how the count moved over these calls
- Scripted
- calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
- All-time
- every call on file
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 22, 2026 23:15 UTC.
Every word
1–2 of 2, most settled first| Word | Q3’24Nov '24 | Q4’24Feb '25 | Q1’25May '25 | Q2’25Aug '25 | Q3’25Nov '25 | Q4’25Feb '26 | Q1’26May '26 | Q2’26last call | Trend | Last 8 | Scripted | All-time | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fossil | 0 times: Fossil, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Fossil, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 5 times: Fossil, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 2 times: Fossil, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 1 time: Fossil, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 1 time: Fossil, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 0 times: Fossil, Q1’26 May '26 | 1 time: Fossil, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | steady | 5/862% | 5/862% | 8/1650% | 60%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| SMR | 1 time: SMR, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 0 times: SMR, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: SMR, Q1’25 May '25 | 7 times: SMR, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 1 time: SMR, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 0 times: SMR, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: SMR, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: SMR, Q2’26 Aug '26 | falling | 3/838% | 0/80% | 3/1619% | 23%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
- times said on that call
- counted as said (ring)
- no call
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Trend
- how the count moved over these calls
- Scripted
- calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
- All-time
- every call on file
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 12Our transcript counts matched how 12 of 12 settled words resolved (100.0%). How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 12 | 2 yes · 10 no | 12/12 (100%) |
| May 5, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Earnings call FY25 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Aug 7, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| May 8, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Feb 27, 2025 | Earnings call FY24 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Nov 14, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Aug 13, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| May 13, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Mar 14, 2024 | Earnings call FY23 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Nov 14, 2023 | Earnings call FY23 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “Talen Energy (TLN): earnings call word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/TLN (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/talen-energy · words: /api/v1/history?entity=talen-energy · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP