Will Target say “Tariff”?
Target said “Tariff” 15 times on its Aug 19, 2026 call (FY27 Q2), and on 6 of its last 8 calls: 0, 15, 24, 27, 2, 17, 0, 15 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Target said “Tariff” on 1 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 20, 2026 (50%), most recently on Aug 19, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 88% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 76¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Target
Tariff
- Probability
- 88% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last calls
- said in 6 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
15 counted (11 in prepared remarks, 4 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…second quarter gross margin rate of 33.7% was 4.7 percentage points higher than last year, including 3.7 percentage points of benefit from IEPA tariff refunds.
…in value. Our Q2 P&L included a $994 million pre-tax benefit from tariff refunds, which was recorded as a reduction of cost of sales. As…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
17 counted (17 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…strong performance given the fact that we face significant pressure from incremental tariff costs. Throughout the year, our team did an outstanding job of managing…
…our Q1 call back in May, last year's financial results included nonrecurring tariff-related costs and inventory actions we took in the face of slower-than-expected sales.…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…Sentiment is at a 3-year low amid concerns about jobs, affordability and tariffs. Yet they remain emotionally motivated. They want to celebrate with loved ones…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did Target say “Tariff” on its last earnings call?
- Target said “Tariff” 15 times on its Aug 19, 2026 call (FY27 Q2), and on 6 of its last 8 calls: 0, 15, 24, 27, 2, 17, 0, 15 times.
- How often does Target say “Tariff”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Target said “Tariff” on 1 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 20, 2026 (50%), most recently on Aug 19, 2026.
- What is the probability Target says “Tariff” next time?
- 88%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Target: ‘Tariff’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/TGT/words/tariff (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=target&word=tariff · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=target&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP