Will Target say “Back to School”?

Target said “Back to School” 18 times on its Aug 19, 2026 call (FY27 Q2), and on 5 of its last 8 calls: 1, 0, 3, 4, 2, 0, 0, 18 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Target said “Back to School” on the only call with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market so far, on Aug 19, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 85% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

85%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1Next: Earnings call, Nov 18, 2026 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
88¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Target

Back to School

Probability
85% · n=1
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last calls
said in 5 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY27 Q2 earnings call, Aug 19, 2026 · said 18 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

18 counted (8 in prepared remarks, 10 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.

Cara Sylvestercompanyprepared · 14:28Hear it 14:27, Cara Sylvester In transcript

As we entered the back-to-school season, we built on that momentum with our exclusive partnership with LoveShackFancy. This offering ended up being the largest limited…

Cara Sylvestercompanyprepared · 16:26Hear it 16:24, Cara Sylvester In transcript

Of course, we're still in the back-to-school and back-to-college season. This year, our combination of style, trend, and value is resonating with guests. In fact,…

Every match in the transcript

FY27 Q1 earnings call, May 20, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Mar 3, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Nov 19, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Richard GomezcompanypreparedIn transcript

…in Drive-Up. We saw the strongest sales around seasonal moments like back to school, back to college and Halloween, highlighting once again the importance of…

James LeecompanypreparedIn transcript

…consumer themes we've been highlighting for some time. as guests shopped around back-to-school and back to college in August and around Halloween in October, but…

FY25 Q2 earnings call, Aug 20, 2025 · said 4 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

4 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Richard H. GomezcompanypreparedIn transcript

…turn the page to Q3 and beyond, we're already well into the back-to-school and college seasons, a particularly important time for our guests and Target's…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q1 earnings call, May 21, 2025 · said 3 times (counts)

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Mar 4, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q3 earnings call, Nov 20, 2024 · said 1 time (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Aug 19, 2026Back to SchoolPolymarketYes20
Aug 19, 2026Back to SchoolKalshiYes18

Questions

How many times did Target say “Back to School” on its last earnings call?
Target said “Back to School” 18 times on its Aug 19, 2026 call (FY27 Q2), and on 5 of its last 8 calls: 1, 0, 3, 4, 2, 0, 0, 18 times.
How often does Target say “Back to School”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Target said “Back to School” on the only call with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market so far, on Aug 19, 2026.
What is the probability Target says “Back to School” next time?
85%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Target: ‘Back to School’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/TGT/words/back-to-school (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=target&word=back%20to%20school · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=target&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP