Will Spotify say “Message”?

Spotify said “Message” 1 time on its Oct 22, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 4 of its last 8 calls: 2, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 1, 1 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Spotify did not say “Message” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 38% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

38%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=2Next: Earnings call, Feb 2, 2027 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
72¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Spotify

Message

Probability
38% · n=2
Settled
0/2 (0%)
Last calls
said in 4 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 22, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Christian LuigacompanypreparedIn transcript

…in quarter 1. There's no news on that, and I think it's a quite clear message, and we work very opportunistically in how we invest.

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Aug 4, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Gustav SöderströmcompanypreparedIn transcript

This quarter, that stopped being a roadmap and became behavior. Messages is live, and people now react to tracks, reply, and share music directly inside…

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 28, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 10, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Nov 4, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Gustav SöderströmcompanypreparedIn transcript

…few months ago, almost 25 million users have sent nearly 200 million messages already. We feel that we're unlocking a new powerful way for users…

FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 29, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Apr 29, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Feb 4, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Apr 28, 2026MessageKalshiNo0
Feb 10, 2026MessageKalshiNo0

Questions

How many times did Spotify say “Message” on its last earnings call?
Spotify said “Message” 1 time on its Oct 22, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 4 of its last 8 calls: 2, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 1, 1 times.
How often does Spotify say “Message”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Spotify did not say “Message” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 10, 2026.
What is the probability Spotify says “Message” next time?
38%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Spotify: ‘Message’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/SPOT/words/message (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=spotify&word=message · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=spotify&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP