Will Spotify say “Churn”?
Spotify said “Churn” 1 time on its Oct 22, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 1, 5, 3, 2, 4, 2, 1, 1 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Spotify said “Churn” at 4 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 10, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 87% (n=4, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 4/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 4 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 73¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Spotify
Churn
- Probability
- 87% · n=4
- Settled
- 4/4 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 8 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…that go unused. If the agent owns the relationship, what keeps Spotify from becoming an interchangeable back-end pipe? Is churn from agents a real risk?
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…six months, including Prompted Playlists. Can you discuss what types of benefits you're seeing in the KPIs, such as listening hours, conversion rates, or churn?"
Counts: company speakers + operator
2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…All that reinforces this confidence in sustained user and subscriber growth, low churn, also continued progress on revenue and margin. For over two decades, we…
…our guidance. We saw no surprises with respect to price increase related churn following our January U.S. price increase. Total revenue was EUR 4.5 billion,…
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown
Kalshi
PolymarketQuestions
- How many times did Spotify say “Churn” on its last earnings call?
- Spotify said “Churn” 1 time on its Oct 22, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 1, 5, 3, 2, 4, 2, 1, 1 times.
- How often does Spotify say “Churn”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Spotify said “Churn” at 4 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 10, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 22, 2026.
- What is the probability Spotify says “Churn” next time?
- 87%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Spotify: ‘Churn’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/SPOT/words/churn (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=spotify&word=churn · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=spotify&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP