Will Spotify say “Apple”?

Spotify did not say “Apple” on its Oct 22, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 5 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 4, 5, 1, 1, 1, 0 times. As of Oct 23, 2026, Spotify said “Apple” at 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 28, 2026 (75%), most recently on Sep 9, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 48% (n=4, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

48%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=4Next: Earnings call, Feb 2, 2027 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
3/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
36¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Spotify

Apple

Probability
48% · n=4
Settled
3/4 (75%)
Last calls
said in 5 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 22, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q2 earnings call, Aug 4, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Bryan GoldbergcompanypreparedIn transcript

…Jason Helfstein on the pricing environment. "Is there any read-through from the Apple Music price increase that was announced in July? How does this impact…

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 28, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Alex NorströmcompanyqaIn transcript

I know you love your TV and Apple TV, Rich, so, hopefully we'll see you know, using Spotify, pumping iron in front of the TV…

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 10, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Daniel EkcompanypreparedIn transcript

…your TV, your gaming console, regardless of whose ecosystem you are in. Apple’s, Google’s, Amazon, Samsung, Sonos, all of them seamlessly. And today, Spotify works…

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Nov 4, 2025 · said 5 times (counts)

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 29, 2025 · said 4 times (counts)

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Apr 29, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Feb 4, 2025 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 4 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 22, 2026AppleKalshiNo0
Sep 9, 2026AppleKalshiYes–
Aug 4, 2026AppleKalshiYes1
Apr 28, 2026AppleKalshiYes1

Questions

How many times did Spotify say “Apple” on its last earnings call?
Spotify did not say “Apple” on its Oct 22, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 5 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 4, 5, 1, 1, 1, 0 times.
How often does Spotify say “Apple”?
As of Oct 23, 2026, Spotify said “Apple” at 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 28, 2026 (75%), most recently on Sep 9, 2026.
What is the probability Spotify says “Apple” next time?
48%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Spotify: ‘Apple’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/SPOT/words/apple (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=spotify&word=apple · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=spotify&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP