S&P Global (SPGI)
As of Oct 23, 2026, Polymarket has settled 12 word markets on S&P Global’s earnings calls since 2026, on 12 different words.
History Wall
1–12 of 12, most settled first| Word | Q3’24Oct '24 | Q4’24Feb '25 | Q1’25Apr '25 | Q2’25Jul '25 | Q3’25Oct '25 | Q4’25Feb '26 | Q1’26Apr '26 | Q2’26last call | Trend | Last 8 | Scripted | All-time | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AI / Artificial Intelligence3+ times | 18 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence 3+ times, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 32 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence 3+ times, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 3 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence 3+ times, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 15 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence 3+ times, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 32 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence 3+ times, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 40 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence 3+ times, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 47 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence 3+ times, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 32 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence 3+ times, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | rising | 8/8100% | 7/888% | 18/8222% | 96%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Benchmark | 2 times: Benchmark, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 5 times: Benchmark, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 5 times: Benchmark, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 1 time: Benchmark, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 5 times: Benchmark, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 9 times: Benchmark, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 5 times: Benchmark, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 19 times: Benchmark, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | rising | 8/8100% | 7/888% | 66/8280% | 95%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Capital IQ Pro | 0 times: Capital IQ Pro, Q3’24 Oct '24 | 4 times: Capital IQ Pro, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 1 time: Capital IQ Pro, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 2 times: Capital IQ Pro, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 6 times: Capital IQ Pro, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 2 times: Capital IQ Pro, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 7 times: Capital IQ Pro, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 1 time: Capital IQ Pro, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | rising | 7/888% | 7/888% | 13/8216% | 87%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| CARFAX | 4 times: CARFAX, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 3 times: CARFAX, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 4 times: CARFAX, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 5 times: CARFAX, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 1 time: CARFAX, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 2 times: CARFAX, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 2 times: CARFAX, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 0 times: CARFAX, Q2’26 Jul '26 | falling | 7/888% | 7/888% | 26/8232% | 68%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Dow Jones | 2 times: Dow Jones, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 2 times: Dow Jones, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 3 times: Dow Jones, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 1 time: Dow Jones, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 4 times: Dow Jones, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 2 times: Dow Jones, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 3 times: Dow Jones, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 8 times: Dow Jones, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | rising | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 49/8260% | 90%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| ESG / Sustainable | 1 time: ESG / Sustainable, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 1 time: ESG / Sustainable, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 0 times: ESG / Sustainable, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: ESG / Sustainable, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 1 time: ESG / Sustainable, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 2 times: ESG / Sustainable, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 0 times: ESG / Sustainable, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: ESG / Sustainable, Q2’26 Jul '26 | steady | 4/850% | 2/825% | 44/8254% | 52%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Europe / European | 1 time: Europe / European, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 3 times: Europe / European, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 2 times: Europe / European, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 4 times: Europe / European, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 1 time: Europe / European, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 1 time: Europe / European, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 2 times: Europe / European, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 0 times: Europe / European, Q2’26 Jul '26 | falling | 7/888% | 7/888% | 77/8294% | 65%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Kensho | 2 times: Kensho, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 7 times: Kensho, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 1 time: Kensho, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 7 times: Kensho, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 9 times: Kensho, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 10 times: Kensho, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 5 times: Kensho, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 26 times: Kensho, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | rising | 8/8100% | 7/888% | 27/8233% | 96%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Rating | 21 times: Rating, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 28 times: Rating, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 26 times: Rating, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 27 times: Rating, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 22 times: Rating, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 30 times: Rating, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 26 times: Rating, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 23 times: Rating, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | steady | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 76/8293% | 97%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Volatility | 0 times: Volatility, Q3’24 Oct '24 | 2 times: Volatility, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 9 times: Volatility, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 5 times: Volatility, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 2 times: Volatility, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 5 times: Volatility, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 10 times: Volatility, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 9 times: Volatility, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | rising | 7/888% | 6/875% | 59/8272% | 91%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| ETF | 3 times: ETF, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 1 time: ETF, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 1 time: ETF, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 1 time: ETF, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 0 times: ETF, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: ETF, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: ETF, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 4 times: ETF, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | steady | 5/862% | 5/862% | 46/8256% | 54%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Portfolio Optimization | 2 times: Portfolio Optimization, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 0 times: Portfolio Optimization, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 1 time: Portfolio Optimization, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 0 times: Portfolio Optimization, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 2 times: Portfolio Optimization, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 0 times: Portfolio Optimization, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: Portfolio Optimization, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Portfolio Optimization, Q2’26 Jul '26 | falling | 3/838% | 2/825% | 3/824% | 33%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
- times said on that call
- counted as said (ring)
- no call
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Trend
- how the count moved over these calls
- Scripted
- calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
- All-time
- every call on file
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 12Our transcript counts matched how 12 of 12 settled words resolved (100.0%). How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Apr 28, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Feb 10, 2026 | Earnings call FY25 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 12 | 10 yes · 2 no | 12/12 (100%) |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Jul 31, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Apr 29, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Feb 11, 2025 | Earnings call FY24 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Oct 24, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Jul 30, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Apr 25, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Feb 8, 2024 | Earnings call FY23 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Nov 2, 2023 | Earnings call FY23 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “S&P Global (SPGI): earnings call word history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/SPGI (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/s-and-p-global · words: /api/v1/history?entity=s-and-p-global · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP