Oklo (OKLO)
As of Oct 23, 2026, Kalshi has settled 22 word markets on Oklo’s earnings calls since 2026, on 11 different words. Next call: Nov 10, 2026 (11 words listed).
Next: Earnings call ·
11 words listed · Occasion page
Who counts: Kalshi: company speakers + operator
Kalshi| Word | Q3’24Nov '24 | Q4’24Mar '25 | Q1’25May '25 | Q2’25Aug '25 | Q3’25year ago | Q4’25Mar '26 | Q1’26May '26 | Q2’26last call | Trend | Last 8 | Scripted | All-time | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Idahoevery call | 9 times: Idaho, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 11 times: Idaho, Q4’24 Mar '25, counts as said | 11 times: Idaho, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 3 times: Idaho, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 8 times: Idaho, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 13 times: Idaho, Q4’25 Mar '26, counts as said | 6 times: Idaho, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 7 times: Idaho, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | steady | 8/8100% | 7/888% | 9/9100% | 94%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 55¢ Kalshi |
| Ohio | 0 times: Ohio, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Ohio, Q4’24 Mar '25 | 1 time: Ohio, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 0 times: Ohio, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Ohio, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 21 times: Ohio, Q4’25 Mar '26, counts as said | 10 times: Ohio, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 11 times: Ohio, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 4/850% | 3/838% | 5/956% | 91%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 3 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 11 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q4’24 Mar '25, counts as said | 4 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 8 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 2 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 0 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q4’25 Mar '26 | 16 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 12 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 7/888% | 6/875% | 8/989% | 89%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 74¢ Kalshi |
| Tennessee | 0 times: Tennessee, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Tennessee, Q4’24 Mar '25 | 0 times: Tennessee, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Tennessee, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 13 times: Tennessee, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 7 times: Tennessee, Q4’25 Mar '26, counts as said | 5 times: Tennessee, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 4 times: Tennessee, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 4/850% | 4/850% | 4/944% | 88%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Meta | 0 times: Meta, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Meta, Q4’24 Mar '25 | 0 times: Meta, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Meta, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Meta, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 14 times: Meta, Q4’25 Mar '26, counts as said | 3 times: Meta, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 2 times: Meta, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 3/838% | 3/838% | 3/933% | 83%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Pipeline | 5 times: Pipeline, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 4 times: Pipeline, Q4’24 Mar '25, counts as said | 2 times: Pipeline, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 2 times: Pipeline, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 4 times: Pipeline, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 1 time: Pipeline, Q4’25 Mar '26, counts as said | 2 times: Pipeline, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 0 times: Pipeline, Q2’26 Aug '26 | falling | 7/888% | 6/875% | 8/989% | 73%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Kiewit | 0 times: Kiewit, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Kiewit, Q4’24 Mar '25 | 0 times: Kiewit, Q1’25 May '25 | 4 times: Kiewit, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 0 times: Kiewit, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Kiewit, Q4’25 Mar '26 | 0 times: Kiewit, Q1’26 May '26 | 6 times: Kiewit, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 2/825% | 2/825% | 2/922% | 46%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Inflation | 1 time: Inflation, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 0 times: Inflation, Q4’24 Mar '25 | 0 times: Inflation, Q1’25 May '25 | 1 time: Inflation, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 2 times: Inflation, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 0 times: Inflation, Q4’25 Mar '26 | 0 times: Inflation, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: Inflation, Q2’26 Aug '26 | falling | 3/838% | 1/812% | 4/944% | 28%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Tariff | 0 times: Tariff, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Tariff, Q4’24 Mar '25 | 0 times: Tariff, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Tariff, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 2 times: Tariff, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 0 times: Tariff, Q4’25 Mar '26 | 0 times: Tariff, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: Tariff, Q2’26 Aug '26 | steady | 1/812% | 1/812% | 1/911% | 23%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Cancer | 1 time: Cancer, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 1 time: Cancer, Q4’24 Mar '25, counts as said | 2 times: Cancer, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 0 times: Cancer, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Cancer, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Cancer, Q4’25 Mar '26 | 0 times: Cancer, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: Cancer, Q2’26 Aug '26 | falling | 3/838% | 3/838% | 3/933% | 18%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Moltexnever said | 0 times: Moltex, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Moltex, Q4’24 Mar '25 | 0 times: Moltex, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Moltex, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Moltex, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Moltex, Q4’25 Mar '26 | 0 times: Moltex, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: Moltex, Q2’26 Aug '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 0/90% | 11%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
- times said on that call
- counted as said (ring)
- no call
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Trend
- how the count moved over these calls
- Scripted
- calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
- All-time
- every call on file
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 22, 2026 23:43 UTC.
Appearances and settled record
latest 9Our transcript counts matched how 22 of 22 settled words resolved (100.0%). How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| May 12, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 11 | 6 yes · 5 no | 11/11 (100%) |
| Mar 17, 2026 | Earnings call FY25 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 11 | 5 yes · 6 no | 11/11 (100%) |
| Nov 11, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Aug 11, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| May 13, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Mar 24, 2025 | Earnings call FY24 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Nov 14, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Aug 14, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “Oklo (OKLO): earnings call word history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/OKLO (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/oklo · words: /api/v1/history?entity=oklo · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP