New York Times (NYT)
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi has settled 10 word markets on New York Times’ earnings calls since 2026, on 10 different words. Next call: Nov 4, 2026 (11 words listed).
| Word | Q3’24Nov '24 | Q4’24Feb '25 | Q1’25May '25 | Q2’25Aug '25 | Q3’25year ago | Q4’25Feb '26 | Q1’26May '26 | Q2’26last call | Trend | Last 8 | Scripted | All-time | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic | 9 times: Athletic, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 7 times: Athletic, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 1 time: Athletic, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 3 times: Athletic, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 5 times: Athletic, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 5 times: Athletic, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 4 times: Athletic, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 2 times: Athletic, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | falling | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 19/8223% | 89%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 67¢ Kalshi |
| Cooking | 2 times: Cooking, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 3 times: Cooking, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 0 times: Cooking, Q1’25 May '25 | 2 times: Cooking, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 2 times: Cooking, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 2 times: Cooking, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 1 time: Cooking, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 2 times: Cooking, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | steady | 7/888% | 6/875% | 41/8250% | 78%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 66¢ Kalshi |
| Podcast | 2 times: Podcast, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 2 times: Podcast, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 3 times: Podcast, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 1 time: Podcast, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 2 times: Podcast, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 1 time: Podcast, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 3 times: Podcast, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 0 times: Podcast, Q2’26 Aug '26 | falling | 7/888% | 5/862% | 32/8239% | 69%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 36¢ Kalshi |
| Family Plan | 0 times: Family Plan, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Family Plan, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Family Plan, Q1’25 May '25 | 3 times: Family Plan, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 4 times: Family Plan, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 6 times: Family Plan, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 0 times: Family Plan, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: Family Plan, Q2’26 Aug '26 | rising | 3/838% | 3/838% | 3/824% | 67%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Retention / Retain | 0 times: Retention / Retain, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Retention / Retain, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Retention / Retain, Q1’25 May '25 | 1 time: Retention / Retain, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 1 time: Retention / Retain, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 1 time: Retention / Retain, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 0 times: Retention / Retain, Q1’26 May '26 | 1 time: Retention / Retain, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 4/850% | 0/80% | 56/8268% | 59%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| M&A / Merger | 0 times: M&A / Merger, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: M&A / Merger, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: M&A / Merger, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: M&A / Merger, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 1 time: M&A / Merger, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 1 time: M&A / Merger, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 0 times: M&A / Merger, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: M&A / Merger, Q2’26 Aug '26 | steady | 2/825% | 0/80% | 6/827% | 41%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 24¢ Kalshi |
| Amazon | 0 times: Amazon, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Amazon, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Amazon, Q1’25 May '25 | 5 times: Amazon, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 0 times: Amazon, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Amazon, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 1 time: Amazon, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 1 time: Amazon, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 3/838% | 2/825% | 9/8211% | 40%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Crossplay | 0 times: Crossplay, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Crossplay, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Crossplay, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Crossplay, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Crossplay, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Crossplay, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 1 time: Crossplay, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 1 time: Crossplay, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 2/825% | 2/825% | 2/822% | 37%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Wordle | 0 times: Wordle, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Wordle, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Wordle, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Wordle, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Wordle, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Wordle, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: Wordle, Q1’26 May '26 | 1 time: Wordle, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 1/812% | 1/812% | 11/8213% | 34%transcripts from the transcript model | 46¢ Kalshi |
| YouTube | 0 times: YouTube, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: YouTube, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: YouTube, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: YouTube, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: YouTube, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: YouTube, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 1 time: YouTube, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 0 times: YouTube, Q2’26 Aug '26 | steady | 1/812% | 0/80% | 3/824% | 27%transcripts from the transcript model | 46¢ Kalshi |
| OpenAI / ChatGPT | 1 time: OpenAI / ChatGPT, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 0 times: OpenAI / ChatGPT, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: OpenAI / ChatGPT, Q1’25 May '25 | 1 time: OpenAI / ChatGPT, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 0 times: OpenAI / ChatGPT, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: OpenAI / ChatGPT, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: OpenAI / ChatGPT, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: OpenAI / ChatGPT, Q2’26 Aug '26 | falling | 2/825% | 0/80% | 2/822% | 23%transcripts from the transcript model | 46¢ Kalshi |
- times said on that call
- counted as said (ring)
- no call
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Trend
- how the count moved over these calls
- Scripted
- calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
- All-time
- every call on file
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 22, 2026 23:26 UTC.
Every word
1–2 of 2, most settled first| Word | Q3’24Nov '24 | Q4’24Feb '25 | Q1’25May '25 | Q2’25Aug '25 | Q3’25Nov '25 | Q4’25Feb '26 | Q1’26May '26 | Q2’26last call | Trend | Last 8 | Scripted | All-time | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wirecutter | 5 times: Wirecutter, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 6 times: Wirecutter, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 2 times: Wirecutter, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 2 times: Wirecutter, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 1 time: Wirecutter, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 2 times: Wirecutter, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 1 time: Wirecutter, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 2 times: Wirecutter, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | falling | 8/8100% | 7/888% | 38/8246% | 81%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| OpenAInever said | 0 times: OpenAI, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: OpenAI, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: OpenAI, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: OpenAI, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: OpenAI, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: OpenAI, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: OpenAI, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: OpenAI, Q2’26 Aug '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 0/820% | 13%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
- times said on that call
- counted as said (ring)
- no call
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Trend
- how the count moved over these calls
- Scripted
- calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
- All-time
- every call on file
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 12Our transcript counts matched how 10 of 10 settled words resolved (100.0%). How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| May 6, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Feb 4, 2026 | Earnings call FY25 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 10 | 7 yes · 3 no | 10/10 (100%) |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Aug 6, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| May 7, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Feb 5, 2025 | Earnings call FY24 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Nov 4, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Aug 7, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| May 8, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Feb 7, 2024 | Earnings call FY23 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Nov 8, 2023 | Earnings call FY23 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “New York Times (NYT): earnings call word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/NYT (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/new-york-times · words: /api/v1/history?entity=new-york-times · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP