Will NVIDIA say “Export restriction”?
NVIDIA did not say “Export restriction” on its Aug 26, 2026 call (FY27 Q2); it said it on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 23, 2026, NVIDIA said “Export restriction” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 28, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 22% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- company speakers
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
NVIDIA
Export restriction
- Probability
- 22% · n=1
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers
Counts: company speakers
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…chipmakers from US competition only strengthens them abroad and weakens America's position. Export restrictions have spurred China's innovation and scale. The AI race is not…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 28, 2025 | Export restriction |  Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
Questions
- How many times did NVIDIA say “Export restriction” on its last earnings call?
- NVIDIA did not say “Export restriction” on its Aug 26, 2026 call (FY27 Q2); it said it on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 times.
- How often does NVIDIA say “Export restriction”?
- As of Oct 23, 2026, NVIDIA said “Export restriction” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 28, 2025.
- What is the probability NVIDIA says “Export restriction” next time?
- 22%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers.
Cite parrot.markets, “NVIDIA: ‘Export restriction’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/NVDA/words/export-restriction (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=nvidia&word=export%20restriction · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=nvidia&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP