Strategy (MSTR)
As of Oct 23, 2026, Kalshi and Polymarket have settled 33 word markets on Strategy’s earnings calls since 2025, on 31 different words.
History Wall
1–32 of 32, most settled first| Word | Q3’24Oct '24 | Q4’24Feb '25 | Q1’25May '25 | Q2’25Aug '25 | Q3’25Oct '25 | Q4’25Feb '26 | Q1’26May '26 | Q2’26last call | Trend | Last 8 | Scripted | All-time | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence / AI | 3 times: Artificial Intelligence / AI, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 3 times: Artificial Intelligence / AI, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 1 time: Artificial Intelligence / AI, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 6 times: Artificial Intelligence / AI, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 0 times: Artificial Intelligence / AI, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 1 time: Artificial Intelligence / AI, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 2 times: Artificial Intelligence / AI, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 5 times: Artificial Intelligence / AI, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | steady | 7/888% | 7/888% | 22/4747% | 75%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Bitcoin | 231 times: Bitcoin, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 163 times: Bitcoin, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 173 times: Bitcoin, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 273 times: Bitcoin, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 163 times: Bitcoin, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 226 times: Bitcoin, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 272 times: Bitcoin, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 260 times: Bitcoin, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | steady | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 25/4753% | 96%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Capital | 113 times: Capital, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 59 times: Capital, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 115 times: Capital, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 62 times: Capital, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 86 times: Capital, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 65 times: Capital, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 97 times: Capital, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 102 times: Capital, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | steady | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 41/4787% | 96%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Capital Gain | 1 time: Capital Gain, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 3 times: Capital Gain, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 1 time: Capital Gain, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 1 time: Capital Gain, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 0 times: Capital Gain, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 1 time: Capital Gain, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 3 times: Capital Gain, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 2 times: Capital Gain, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | steady | 7/888% | 7/888% | 10/4721% | 73%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Convertible | 29 times: Convertible, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 42 times: Convertible, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 35 times: Convertible, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 29 times: Convertible, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 12 times: Convertible, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 17 times: Convertible, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 13 times: Convertible, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 14 times: Convertible, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | falling | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 24/4751% | 95%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Holdings | 18 times: Holdings, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 14 times: Holdings, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 11 times: Holdings, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 9 times: Holdings, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 5 times: Holdings, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 5 times: Holdings, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 4 times: Holdings, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 13 times: Holdings, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | falling | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 23/4749% | 92%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Interest Rate | 2 times: Interest Rate, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 1 time: Interest Rate, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 2 times: Interest Rate, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 5 times: Interest Rate, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 3 times: Interest Rate, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 3 times: Interest Rate, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 4 times: Interest Rate, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 1 time: Interest Rate, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | steady | 8/8100% | 6/875% | 23/4749% | 84%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Leverage | 30 times: Leverage, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 27 times: Leverage, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 18 times: Leverage, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 53 times: Leverage, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 12 times: Leverage, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 14 times: Leverage, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 13 times: Leverage, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 5 times: Leverage, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | falling | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 32/4768% | 94%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Nvidia | 3 times: Nvidia, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 0 times: Nvidia, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 1 time: Nvidia, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 2 times: Nvidia, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 1 time: Nvidia, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 0 times: Nvidia, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 2 times: Nvidia, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 0 times: Nvidia, Q2’26 Jul '26 | falling | 5/862% | 5/862% | 6/4713% | 48%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Strike | 0 times: Strike, Q3’24 Oct '24 | 24 times: Strike, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 51 times: Strike, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 17 times: Strike, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 11 times: Strike, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 2 times: Strike, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 1 time: Strike, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 4 times: Strike, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | falling | 7/888% | 5/862% | 9/4719% | 86%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Treasury | 43 times: Treasury, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 24 times: Treasury, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 20 times: Treasury, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 42 times: Treasury, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 25 times: Treasury, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 21 times: Treasury, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 8 times: Treasury, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 5 times: Treasury, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | falling | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 25/4753% | 95%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Volatility | 37 times: Volatility, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 26 times: Volatility, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 36 times: Volatility, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 29 times: Volatility, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 26 times: Volatility, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 31 times: Volatility, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 15 times: Volatility, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 26 times: Volatility, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | falling | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 33/4770% | 96%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Yield | 41 times: Yield, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 30 times: Yield, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 69 times: Yield, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 62 times: Yield, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 56 times: Yield, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 26 times: Yield, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 51 times: Yield, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 33 times: Yield, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | steady | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 21/4745% | 96%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Billion50+ times | 54 times: Billion 50+, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 56 times: Billion 50+, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 67 times: Billion 50+, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 82 times: Billion 50+, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 106 times: Billion 50+, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 61 times: Billion 50+, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 91 times: Billion 50+, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 135 times: Billion 50+, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | rising | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 8/4717% | 71%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Bitcoin100+ times | 231 times: Bitcoin 100+, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 163 times: Bitcoin 100+, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 173 times: Bitcoin 100+, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 273 times: Bitcoin 100+, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 163 times: Bitcoin 100+, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 226 times: Bitcoin 100+, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 272 times: Bitcoin 100+, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 260 times: Bitcoin 100+, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | steady | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 22/4747% | 73%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| China | 0 times: China, Q3’24 Oct '24 | 1 time: China, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 0 times: China, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: China, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: China, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 2 times: China, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 1 time: China, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 0 times: China, Q2’26 Jul '26 | rising | 3/838% | 2/825% | 15/4732% | 35%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Cloud | 21 times: Cloud, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 14 times: Cloud, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 6 times: Cloud, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 0 times: Cloud, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Cloud, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 2 times: Cloud, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 0 times: Cloud, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: Cloud, Q2’26 Jul '26 | falling | 4/850% | 4/850% | 43/4791% | 34%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Connector | 0 times: Connector, Q3’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: Connector, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Connector, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Connector, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Connector, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Connector, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: Connector, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: Connector, Q2’26 Jul '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 4/479% | 13%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Crypto7+ times | 6 times: Crypto 7+, Q3’24 Oct '24, below the threshold | 5 times: Crypto 7+, Q4’24 Feb '25, below the threshold | 5 times: Crypto 7+, Q1’25 May '25, below the threshold | 21 times: Crypto 7+, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 13 times: Crypto 7+, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 11 times: Crypto 7+, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 23 times: Crypto 7+, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 9 times: Crypto 7+, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | rising | 5/862% | 4/850% | 10/4721% | 59%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Dashboard | 0 times: Dashboard, Q3’24 Oct '24 | 1 time: Dashboard, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 0 times: Dashboard, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Dashboard, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Dashboard, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Dashboard, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: Dashboard, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: Dashboard, Q2’26 Jul '26 | steady | 1/812% | 1/812% | 17/4736% | 16%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Digital Gold | 0 times: Digital Gold, Q3’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: Digital Gold, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Digital Gold, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Digital Gold, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 4 times: Digital Gold, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 0 times: Digital Gold, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: Digital Gold, Q1’26 May '26 | 1 time: Digital Gold, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | rising | 2/825% | 1/812% | 12/4726% | 48%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Fiat | 0 times: Fiat, Q3’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: Fiat, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 2 times: Fiat, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 0 times: Fiat, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 1 time: Fiat, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 0 times: Fiat, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: Fiat, Q1’26 May '26 | 11 times: Fiat, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | rising | 3/838% | 2/825% | 5/4711% | 65%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Inflation | 2 times: Inflation, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 0 times: Inflation, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Inflation, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Inflation, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Inflation, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Inflation, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: Inflation, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: Inflation, Q2’26 Jul '26 | falling | 1/812% | 1/812% | 12/4726% | 16%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Layer | 0 times: Layer, Q3’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: Layer, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Layer, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Layer, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Layer, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 1 time: Layer, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 3 times: Layer, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 1 time: Layer, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | rising | 3/838% | 3/838% | 14/4730% | 51%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Mobile | 0 times: Mobile, Q3’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: Mobile, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Mobile, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Mobile, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Mobile, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Mobile, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 1 time: Mobile, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 0 times: Mobile, Q2’26 Jul '26 | steady | 1/812% | 0/80% | 34/4772% | 22%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Recession | 0 times: Recession, Q3’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: Recession, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Recession, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Recession, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Recession, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Recession, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: Recession, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: Recession, Q2’26 Jul '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 1/472% | 12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Repayment | 0 times: Repayment, Q3’24 Oct '24 | 2 times: Repayment, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 2 times: Repayment, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 0 times: Repayment, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Repayment, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Repayment, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: Repayment, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: Repayment, Q2’26 Jul '26 | falling | 2/825% | 2/825% | 5/4711% | 19%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Semantic | 0 times: Semantic, Q3’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: Semantic, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Semantic, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Semantic, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Semantic, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Semantic, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: Semantic, Q1’26 May '26 | 1 time: Semantic, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | rising | 1/812% | 0/80% | 6/4713% | 28%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Strategic Bitcoin Reserve | 1 time: Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 2 times: Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 1 time: Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 1 time: Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 0 times: Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, Q2’26 Jul '26 | falling | 4/850% | 4/850% | 5/4711% | 22%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Tariffnever said 3+ times | 0 times: Tariff 3+, Q3’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: Tariff 3+, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Tariff 3+, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Tariff 3+, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 1 time: Tariff 3+, Q3’25 Oct '25, below the threshold | 0 times: Tariff 3+, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: Tariff 3+, Q1’26 May '26 | 1 time: Tariff 3+, Q2’26 Jul '26, below the threshold | rising | 0/80% | 0/80% | 0/470% | 9%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Trump | 0 times: Trump, Q3’24 Oct '24 | 1 time: Trump, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 1 time: Trump, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 0 times: Trump, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Trump, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Trump, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 1 time: Trump, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 0 times: Trump, Q2’26 Jul '26 | steady | 3/838% | 3/838% | 4/479% | 26%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Workstation | 0 times: Workstation, Q3’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: Workstation, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Workstation, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Workstation, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Workstation, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Workstation, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: Workstation, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: Workstation, Q2’26 Jul '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 10/4721% | 13%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
- times said on that call
- counted as said (ring)
- no call
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Trend
- how the count moved over these calls
- Scripted
- calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
- All-time
- every call on file
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 12Our transcript counts matched how 33 of 33 settled words resolved (100.0%). How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| May 5, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Earnings call FY25 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 21 | 11 yes · 10 no | 21/21 (100%) |
| May 2, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 12 | 2 yes · 10 no | 12/12 (100%) |
| Feb 5, 2025 | Earnings call FY24 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Oct 30, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Aug 1, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Apr 29, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Feb 6, 2024 | Earnings call FY23 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Nov 1, 2023 | Earnings call FY23 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “Strategy (MSTR): earnings call word history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/MSTR (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/strategy · words: /api/v1/history?entity=strategy · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP