Will Moody's say “Tariff”?
Moody's did not say “Tariff” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 6 of its last 8 calls: 1, 5, 2, 2, 1, 1, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Moody's said “Tariff” on 1 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 18, 2026 (50%), most recently on Feb 18, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 41% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 15¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Moody's
Tariff
- Probability
- 41% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last calls
- said in 6 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…time last year, and if you remember, there were the Liberation Day tariffs, and it created a lot of volatility and uncertainty in the market.…
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…quarter capped off an outstanding year across the board. While we experienced tariff-driven uncertainty that resulted in a market-driven air pocket early in 2025, conditions…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…like the one we've experienced earlier this year. Risks remain with ongoing tariff and trade negotiations, and the full impact of a prolonged government shutdown…
…obviously, April, we had a lot of in the market with the tariffs. That was, in a way, kind of a lost month. Right? And,…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did Moody's say “Tariff” on its last earnings call?
- Moody's did not say “Tariff” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 6 of its last 8 calls: 1, 5, 2, 2, 1, 1, 0, 0 times.
- How often does Moody's say “Tariff”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Moody's said “Tariff” on 1 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 18, 2026 (50%), most recently on Feb 18, 2026.
- What is the probability Moody's says “Tariff” next time?
- 41%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Moody's: ‘Tariff’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/MCO/words/tariff (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=moodys&word=tariff · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=moodys&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP