Will Moody's say “Recession”?
Moody's did not say “Recession” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Moody's did not say “Recession” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 15% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 6¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Moody's
Recession
- Probability
- 15% · n=1
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…a slowdown, the current thinking is that we're not looking at a recession while there's been a little bit we think the current levels of…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Recession |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How many times did Moody's say “Recession” on its last earnings call?
- Moody's did not say “Recession” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0 times.
- How often does Moody's say “Recession”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Moody's did not say “Recession” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 21, 2026.
- What is the probability Moody's says “Recession” next time?
- 15%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Moody's: ‘Recession’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/MCO/words/recession (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=moodys&word=recession · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=moodys&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP