Will Moody's say “Inflation”?

Moody's did not say “Inflation” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 3, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 2, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Moody's did not say “Inflation” on any of the 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 18, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 27% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

27%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=2Next: Earnings call, Feb 17, 2027 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
32¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Moody's

Inflation

Probability
27% · n=2
Settled
0/2 (0%)
Last calls
said in 3 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 21, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 22, 2026 · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

2 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).

Rob Faubercompanyqa · 37:54Hear it 37:54, Rob Fauber In transcript

…to kind of double-click on the hyperscaler stuff in a bit. If inflation remains under control and if we actually get a rate cut, that…

Rob Faubercompanyqa · 40:17Hear it 40:11, Rob Fauber In transcript

…extended disruption to global energy flows that may put more pressure on inflation expectations and potentially lead companies to defer M&A. Then, I think Noémie…

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 22, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 18, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 22, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 23, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Noemie Clemence HeulandcompanypreparedIn transcript

…remains around several macro drivers, including tariffs, central bank interest rate policy, inflation, the path of credit spreads and the trajectory of M&A activity for…

FY25 Q1 earnings call, Apr 22, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Feb 13, 2025 · said 3 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

3 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).

Rob FaubercompanypreparedIn transcript

…and severity of extreme weather events combined with ongoing property development and inflation which have made these events even more costly. And the demand to…

Rob FaubercompanyqaIn transcript

…huge monetary and fiscal stimulus in response. Then that led to record inflation and an interest rate shock. And as the pandemic subsided, we had…

Every match in the transcript

Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 21, 2026InflationKalshiNo0
Feb 18, 2026InflationKalshiNo0

Questions

How many times did Moody's say “Inflation” on its last earnings call?
Moody's did not say “Inflation” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 3, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 2, 0 times.
How often does Moody's say “Inflation”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Moody's did not say “Inflation” on any of the 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 18, 2026.
What is the probability Moody's says “Inflation” next time?
27%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Moody's: ‘Inflation’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/MCO/words/inflation (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=moodys&word=inflation · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=moodys&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP