Will Moody's say “Geopolitical”?
Moody's did not say “Geopolitical” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 5 of its last 8 calls: 0, 1, 3, 1, 0, 3, 1, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Moody's did not say “Geopolitical” on any of the 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 18, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 39% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 44¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Moody's
Geopolitical
- Probability
- 39% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 5 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
Despite the geopolitical volatility, issuers remained focused on accessing capital with constructive credit conditions, strong investor demand, and continued financing needs across both corporate…
…but are you also assuming a more conservative approach, just given the geopolitical uncertainty? Then maybe on the same line, how do you think about…
Not counted under the usual rule (company speakers + operator); this word was not listed here.
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
3 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…us. Q1 was a strong start to the year despite a volatile geopolitical backdrop. Moody's again delivered sustained revenue growth across both businesses and powerful…
…with investor appetite holding up well for most of the quarter despite geopolitical volatility. Now, we're watching this closely, as sub-investment-grade issuers tend to be…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…We do have the potential for further resolution in some of these geopolitical conflicts that I think could provide a little bit more market confidence.…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Geopolitical |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Geopolitical | Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How many times did Moody's say “Geopolitical” on its last earnings call?
- Moody's did not say “Geopolitical” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 5 of its last 8 calls: 0, 1, 3, 1, 0, 3, 1, 0 times.
- How often does Moody's say “Geopolitical”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Moody's did not say “Geopolitical” on any of the 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 18, 2026.
- What is the probability Moody's says “Geopolitical” next time?
- 39%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Moody's: ‘Geopolitical’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/MCO/words/geopolitical (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=moodys&word=geopolitical · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=moodys&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP