Will Lockheed Martin say “Orion”?

Lockheed Martin did not say “Orion” on its Oct 22, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 1, 0, 1, 0, 2, 4, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Lockheed Martin did not say “Orion” on any of the 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 23, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 43% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

43%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=2Next: Earnings call, Jan 28, 2027 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
28¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Lockheed Martin

Orion

Probability
43% · n=2
Settled
0/2 (0%)
Last calls
said in 4 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 22, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 23, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 23, 2026 · said 4 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

4 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

James Taicletcompanyprepared · 2:54Hear it 2:48, James Taiclet In transcript

…their historical mission in a near flawless flight and recovery using our Orion spacecraft. Artemis launched on April 1st, carrying four astronauts on a 10-day…

James Taicletcompanyprepared · 3:22Hear it 3:22, James Taiclet In transcript

…miles beyond the Moon before safely splashing down in the Pacific Ocean. Orion is the only vehicle capable of traveling into deep space and back…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jan 29, 2026 · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Maria RicciardonecompanypreparedIn transcript

…(FBM) programs, as well as higher volume for the transport layer and Orion programs. Operating profit decreased 4% compared to Q4 2024, due to lower…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 21, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 22, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Maria RicciardonecompanypreparedIn transcript

…year. Due to higher volume at Commercial Civil space primarily on the Orion program and at Strategic and Missile Defense. Driven by next generation interceptor…

FY25 Q1 earnings call, Apr 22, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Jan 28, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 22, 2026OrionKalshiNo0
Jul 23, 2026OrionKalshiNo0

Questions

How many times did Lockheed Martin say “Orion” on its last earnings call?
Lockheed Martin did not say “Orion” on its Oct 22, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 1, 0, 1, 0, 2, 4, 0, 0 times.
How often does Lockheed Martin say “Orion”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Lockheed Martin did not say “Orion” on any of the 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 23, 2026.
What is the probability Lockheed Martin says “Orion” next time?
43%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Lockheed Martin: ‘Orion’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/LMT/words/orion (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=lockheed-martin&word=orion · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=lockheed-martin&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP