Will Intel say “Tariff”?

Intel did not say “Tariff” on its Jul 23, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 4, 12, 3, 0, 1, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Intel said “Tariff” on 1 of 4 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 23, 2025 (25%), most recently on Jan 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 27% (n=4, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

27%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=4counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
1/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Intel

Tariff

Probability
27% · n=4
Settled
1/4 (25%)
Last calls
said in 4 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 23, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 23, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jan 22, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

David ZinsnercompanypreparedIn transcript

…to pursue our goals. We've navigated a market that has shifted from tariff-driven uncertainty in the first half to an intense AI-driven demand environment constrained…

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 23, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 24, 2025 · said 3 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

3 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

David A. ZinsnercompanypreparedIn transcript

…think it's likely Q2 revenue benefited from customer purchasing behavior to mitigate tariff uncertainty, although it continues to be difficult to quantify. Turning to non-GAAP…

David A. ZinsnercompanypreparedIn transcript

…expectations, which we attribute at least in part to customers hedging against tariff uncertainty. As such, while we believe the underlying fundamentals of our core…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q1 earnings call, Apr 24, 2025 · said 12 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

12 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 9 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

David ZinsnercompanypreparedIn transcript

…we believe Q1 revenue benefited from customer purchasing behavior anticipation of potential tariffs, it is difficult to quantify the magnitude. Non-GAAP gross margin was 39.2%,…

David ZinsnercompanypreparedIn transcript

…have offsets including a global highly diversified manufacturing footprint to help mitigate tariffs, we will certainly see costs increase, and we feel it prudent to…

Every match in the transcript

FY24 Q4 earnings call, Jan 30, 2025 · said 4 times (counts)

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FY24 Q3 earnings call, Oct 31, 2024 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 5 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jul 23, 2026TariffKalshiNo0
Apr 23, 2026TariffKalshiNo0
Jan 22, 2026TariffKalshiYes1
Oct 23, 2025TariffPolymarketNo0
Oct 23, 2025TariffKalshiNo0

Questions

How many times did Intel say “Tariff” on its last earnings call?
Intel did not say “Tariff” on its Jul 23, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 4, 12, 3, 0, 1, 0, 0 times.
How often does Intel say “Tariff”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Intel said “Tariff” on 1 of 4 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 23, 2025 (25%), most recently on Jan 22, 2026.
What is the probability Intel says “Tariff” next time?
27%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Intel: ‘Tariff’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/INTC/words/tariff (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=intel&word=tariff · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=intel&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP