Will Intel say “Government”?

Intel did not say “Government” on its Jul 23, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 6 of its last 8 calls: 2, 5, 1, 2, 4, 2, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Intel did not say “Government” on the only call with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 23, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 51% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

51%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Intel

Government

Probability
51% · n=1
Settled
0/1 (0%)
Last calls
said in 6 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 23, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 23, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jan 22, 2026 · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

David ZinsnercompanypreparedIn transcript

…stake sale of Altera to Silver Lake, accelerated funding from the U.S. government and investments by the SoftBank Group and NVIDIA. In addition, we repaid…

David ZinsnercompanypreparedIn transcript

…was $222 million in the quarter driven by projects with the U.S. government and the deconsolidation of Altera. Intel Foundry operating loss in Q4 was…

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 23, 2025 · said 4 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

4 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Lip-Bu TancompanypreparedIn transcript

…becoming CEO in March. This includes accelerated funding from the United States government, important investments from NVIDIA and SoftBank Group and monetizing portion of Altera…

Lip-Bu TancompanypreparedIn transcript

…Trump administration's vision to restoring semiconductor production and proudly welcome the U.S. government as our essential partners in our efforts. We also made tangible progress…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 24, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

2 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Lip-Bu TancompanypreparedIn transcript

…also important as we continue to advance our work for the U.S. government within the Secure Enclave program as well as for other initial committed…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q1 earnings call, Apr 24, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Jan 30, 2025 · said 5 times (counts)

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FY24 Q3 earnings call, Oct 31, 2024 · said 2 times (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jul 23, 2026GovernmentPolymarketNo0
Jul 23, 2026GovernmentKalshiNo0

Questions

How many times did Intel say “Government” on its last earnings call?
Intel did not say “Government” on its Jul 23, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 6 of its last 8 calls: 2, 5, 1, 2, 4, 2, 0, 0 times.
How often does Intel say “Government”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Intel did not say “Government” on the only call with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 23, 2026.
What is the probability Intel says “Government” next time?
51%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Intel: ‘Government’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/INTC/words/government (CC BY 4.0)

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