Will Intel say “Arizona”?

Intel did not say “Arizona” on its Jul 23, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 5 of its last 8 calls: 3, 0, 1, 2, 1, 1, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Intel said “Arizona” on 1 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 22, 2026 (33%), most recently on Jan 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 35% (n=3, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

35%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=3counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Intel

Arizona

Probability
35% · n=3
Settled
1/3 (33%)
Last calls
said in 5 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 23, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 23, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jan 22, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

David ZinsnercompanypreparedIn transcript

…These advanced wafers are rolling off our production lines in Oregon and Arizona here in the United States. Finally, our continued progress on Intel 14A…

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 23, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Lip-Bu TancompanypreparedIn transcript

…18A yields are progressing at a predictable rate and Fab 52 in Arizona, which is dedicated to high-volume manufacturing, is now fully operational. In addition,…

Blayne CurtisanalystqaIn transcript

…just kind of curious, as you start to ramp this 18A in Arizona, is there a way to think about the timing of when you…

Not counted under the usual rule (company speakers + operator); this word was not listed here.

FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 24, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

2 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

David A. ZinsnercompanypreparedIn transcript

…18A reached a key milestone with the start of production wafers in Arizona ahead of Intel Products Q4 launch of its next- generation client product…

David A. ZinsnercompanyqaIn transcript

Yes, there was a big chunk of it that was Arizona actually, and we actually flipped that at the beginning of this quarter. So that's…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q1 earnings call, Apr 24, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Jan 30, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q3 earnings call, Oct 31, 2024 · said 3 times (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jul 23, 2026ArizonaKalshiNo0
Apr 23, 2026ArizonaKalshiNo0
Jan 22, 2026ArizonaKalshiYes1

Questions

How many times did Intel say “Arizona” on its last earnings call?
Intel did not say “Arizona” on its Jul 23, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 5 of its last 8 calls: 3, 0, 1, 2, 1, 1, 0, 0 times.
How often does Intel say “Arizona”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Intel said “Arizona” on 1 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 22, 2026 (33%), most recently on Jan 22, 2026.
What is the probability Intel says “Arizona” next time?
35%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Intel: ‘Arizona’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/INTC/words/arizona (CC BY 4.0)

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