Will Google say “YouTube Shorts”?
Google said “YouTube Shorts” 2 times on its Jul 22, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 5 of its last 8 calls: 4, 0, 1, 3, 1, 0, 0, 2 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Google said “YouTube Shorts” at 2 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 24, 2025 (40%), most recently on Jul 23, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 46% (n=5, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 22¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
YouTube Shorts
- Probability
- 46% · n=5
- Settled
- 2/5 (40%)
- Last calls
- said in 5 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
2 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…fuel our direct response growth through campaigns like Demand Gen. They leverage our AI to scale visual storytelling across YouTube, Shorts, and now Google Maps.
…on the brand side, on the direct response side. Demand Gen and YouTube Shorts remain really interesting opportunities here. Again, this has targeting components to…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…new record for most concurrent viewers of a live stream on YouTube. YouTube Shorts also continues to perform well. In the U.S., Shorts now earn…
Counts: company speakers + operator
3 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…sports to shorts, we now average over 200 billion daily views on YouTube Shorts. AI is helping improve our recommendations and auto dubbing, which translates…
…YouTube creators to ignite awareness for the Minecraft movie meal. It leveraged YouTube Shorts partnership adds to increase its reach, generating a 3.3x higher view…
Every settled listing
newest first · 7 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | Youtube Shorts |  Kalshi | No | 2 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement) |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Youtube Shorts | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Feb 4, 2026 | Youtube Shorts |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Feb 4, 2026 | Youtube Shorts | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jul 23, 2025 | YouTube Shorts | Polymarket | Yes | 3 |
| Jul 23, 2025 | Youtube Shorts | Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
| Apr 24, 2025 | YouTube Shorts | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
Questions
- How many times did Google say “YouTube Shorts” on its last earnings call?
- Google said “YouTube Shorts” 2 times on its Jul 22, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 5 of its last 8 calls: 4, 0, 1, 3, 1, 0, 0, 2 times.
- How often does Google say “YouTube Shorts”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Google said “YouTube Shorts” at 2 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 24, 2025 (40%), most recently on Jul 23, 2025.
- What is the probability Google says “YouTube Shorts” next time?
- 46%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Google: ‘YouTube Shorts’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/GOOGL/words/youtube-short (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=google&word=youtube%20short · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=google&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP