Will Google say “Tailwind”?

Google said “Tailwind” 1 time on its Jul 22, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 6 of its last 8 calls: 1, 0, 0, 1, 1, 1, 4, 1 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Google said “Tailwind” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 29, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jul 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 77% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

77%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=2Next: Earnings call, Oct 29, 2026 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
Streak
said the last 2 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
69¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Google

Tailwind

Probability
77% · n=2
Settled
2/2 (100%)
Last calls
said in 6 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 22, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Anat Ashkenazicompanyprepared · 27:14Hear it 27:08, Anat Ashkenazi In transcript

…our consolidated revenue in Q3 compared to a 1 percentage point FX tailwind in Q2. This impact will be seen primarily in Search and YouTube…

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 29, 2026 · said 4 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

4 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Anat Ashkenazicompanyprepared · 23:58Hear it 23:54, Anat Ashkenazi In transcript

…Search and subscriptions. Google services revenues also benefited from a strong FX tailwind. Google Search and other advertising revenues increased by 19% to $60.4 billion,…

Anat Ashkenazicompanyprepared · 27:25Hear it 27:22, Anat Ashkenazi In transcript

At current spot rates, we would expect to see an FX tailwind of approximately 1 percentage point to our consolidated revenue in Q2 compared to…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 4, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Anat AshkenazicompanypreparedIn transcript

…business. At current spot rates, we would expect to see an FX tailwind to our consolidated revenues in Q1. However, the volatility in exchange rates…

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 29, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 23, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Apr 24, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Feb 4, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q3 earnings call, Oct 29, 2024 · said 1 time (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jul 22, 2026TailwindKalshiYes1
Apr 29, 2026TailwindKalshiYes4

Questions

How many times did Google say “Tailwind” on its last earnings call?
Google said “Tailwind” 1 time on its Jul 22, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 6 of its last 8 calls: 1, 0, 0, 1, 1, 1, 4, 1 times.
How often does Google say “Tailwind”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Google said “Tailwind” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 29, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jul 22, 2026.
What is the probability Google says “Tailwind” next time?
77%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Google: ‘Tailwind’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/GOOGL/words/tailwind (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=google&word=tailwind · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=google&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP