Will Google say “Gemini 3”?
Google said “Gemini 3” 5 times on its Jul 22, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 2, 8, 4, 5 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Google said “Gemini 3” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 4, 2026 (67%), most recently on Apr 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 79% (n=3, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Gemini 3
- Probability
- 79% · n=3
- Settled
- 2/3 (67%)
- Last calls
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
5 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).
…Cloud's leadership, and our long-term bets. First, AI. Yesterday, we announced new models, Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash-Lite, which are cost-effective and highly efficient.
…and delivers performance at the frontier comparable to far bigger cyber models. Gemini 3.5 Pro is currently in testing, and our team is already building…
Counts: company speakers + operator
4 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…research. That includes models and tooling, which continue to progress really well. Gemini 3.1 Pro continues to push the frontier in reasoning, multimodal understanding, and…
…the past five years. Since upgrading AI Overviews and AI Mode to Gemini 3, we have reduced the cost of core AI responses by more…
Counts: company speakers + operator
8 counted (8 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…joining us. It was a tremendous quarter for Alphabet. The launch of Gemini 3 was a major milestone, and we have great momentum. Alphabet annual…
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown
Kalshi
PolymarketQuestions
- How many times did Google say “Gemini 3” on its last earnings call?
- Google said “Gemini 3” 5 times on its Jul 22, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 2, 8, 4, 5 times.
- How often does Google say “Gemini 3”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Google said “Gemini 3” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 4, 2026 (67%), most recently on Apr 29, 2026.
- What is the probability Google says “Gemini 3” next time?
- 79%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Google: ‘Gemini 3’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/GOOGL/words/gemini-3 (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=google&word=gemini%203 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=google&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP