Will Google say “European Commission”?
Google did not say “European Commission” on its Jul 22, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Google did not say “European Commission” at any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 4, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 17% (n=3, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
European Commission
- Probability
- 17% · n=3
- Settled
- 0/3 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…increased meaningfully, primarily due to the $3.5 billion charge related to the European Commission fine mentioned in the earnings press release. Operating income increased 9%…
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | European Commission |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | European Commission | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Feb 4, 2026 | European Commission |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Feb 4, 2026 | European Commission | Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How many times did Google say “European Commission” on its last earnings call?
- Google did not say “European Commission” on its Jul 22, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0 times.
- How often does Google say “European Commission”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Google did not say “European Commission” at any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 4, 2026.
- What is the probability Google says “European Commission” next time?
- 17%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Google: ‘European Commission’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/GOOGL/words/european-commission (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=google&word=european%20commission · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=google&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP