Will Google say “Autonomous”?
Google did not say “Autonomous” on its Jul 22, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 3, 0, 0, 0, 1, 1, 2, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Google said “Autonomous” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 4, 2026 (67%), most recently on Apr 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 47% (n=3, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 49¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Autonomous
- Probability
- 47% · n=3
- Settled
- 2/3 (67%)
- Last calls
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…are shifting to truly agentic workflows. Our engineers are now orchestrating fully autonomous digital task forces and building at a faster velocity. Much more to…
…in 11 major U.S. cities in total. Waymo also surpassed 500,000 fully autonomous rides per week, doubling in less than a year. Wing continues to…
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…with safety at the core. In December, we surpassed 20 million fully autonomous trips and are now providing more than 400,000 rides every week. Waymo…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…permission to operate fully autonomously at San Jose and San Francisco Airports. Autonomous testing continues to scale in New York City. The new Waymo for…
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | Autonomous |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Autonomous | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Feb 4, 2026 | Autonomous |  Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Feb 4, 2026 | Autonomous | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
Questions
- How many times did Google say “Autonomous” on its last earnings call?
- Google did not say “Autonomous” on its Jul 22, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 3, 0, 0, 0, 1, 1, 2, 0 times.
- How often does Google say “Autonomous”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Google said “Autonomous” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 4, 2026 (67%), most recently on Apr 29, 2026.
- What is the probability Google says “Autonomous” next time?
- 47%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Google: ‘Autonomous’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/GOOGL/words/autonomous (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=google&word=autonomous · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=google&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP