Will Disney say “Avatar”?
Disney did not say “Avatar” on its Aug 5, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 5 of its last 8 calls: 3, 0, 2, 2, 3, 5, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Disney said “Avatar” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 2, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 68% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Disney
Avatar
- Probability
- 68% · n=1
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 5 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
5 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 4 in Q&A).
…as number one at the global box office over the past decade. Avatar: Fire and Ash became our latest release to cross the $1 billion…
…as a, for instance, the lift Disney Plus that Zootopia 2 and Avatar: Fire and Ash have created is enormous in terms of first streams…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
3 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…into the holiday season, we're excited to bring audiences Zootopia 2 and Avatar: Fire and Ash. Looking ahead, next year's slate includes numerous highly anticipated…
…is our Thanksgiving release. And then we finish the calendar year with Avatar: Fire and Ash. Obviously, we have very, very high hopes for that.…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…year, we will release more highly anticipated titles, including Zootopia 2 and Avatar: Fire and Ash. Turning to our streaming business. Today, we are announcing…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | Avatar |  Kalshi | Yes | 5 |
Questions
- How many times did Disney say “Avatar” on its last earnings call?
- Disney did not say “Avatar” on its Aug 5, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 5 of its last 8 calls: 3, 0, 2, 2, 3, 5, 0, 0 times.
- How often does Disney say “Avatar”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Disney said “Avatar” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 2, 2026.
- What is the probability Disney says “Avatar” next time?
- 68%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Disney: ‘Avatar’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/DIS/words/avatar (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=disney&word=avatar · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=disney&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP