Will Costco say “Margin”?

Costco said “Margin” 13 times on its Sep 24, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), and on each of its last 8 calls: 18, 11, 21, 16, 8, 19, 22, 13 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Costco said “Margin” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 25, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 96% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

96%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Costco

Margin

Probability
96% · n=1
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last calls
said in 8 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q4 earnings call, Sep 24, 2026 · said 13 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

13 counted (13 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Gary Millerchipcompanyprepared · 13:50Hear it 13:48, Gary Millerchip In transcript

…at a higher rate than Gold Star members. Turning now to gross margin. Our reported gross margin rate was lower year-over-year by 11 basis points,…

Gary Millerchipcompanyprepared · 14:12Hear it 14:11, Gary Millerchip In transcript

In terms of core margins on their own sales, our core on core margins were higher by 18 basis points, excluding the impact of tariff…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q3 earnings call, May 28, 2026 · said 22 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

22 counted (10 in prepared remarks, 12 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Gary Millerchipcompanyprepared · 11:00Hear it 10:58, Gary Millerchip In transcript

…impact from this mix change in our membership base. Turning to gross margin, our reported rate was lower year-over-year by 21 basis points, coming in…

Gary Millerchipcompanyprepared · 11:19Hear it 11:18, Gary Millerchip In transcript

…lower by 29 basis points excluding gas inflation. In terms of core margins on their own sales, our core-on-core margins were lower by nine basis…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Mar 5, 2026 · said 19 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

19 counted (9 in prepared remarks, 10 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Gary MillerchipcompanypreparedIn transcript

…negative effect of the increased penetration of online sign-ups. Turning to gross margin. Our reported rate was higher year-over-year by 17 basis points and higher…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Dec 11, 2025 · said 8 times (counts)

Open the appearance

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Sep 25, 2025 · said 16 times (counts)

Open the appearance

FY25 Q3 earnings call, May 29, 2025 · said 21 times (counts)

Open the appearance

FY25 Q2 earnings call, Mar 6, 2025 · said 11 times (counts)

Open the appearance

FY25 Q1 earnings call, Dec 12, 2024 · said 18 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Sep 25, 2025MarginKalshiYes16

Questions

How many times did Costco say “Margin” on its last earnings call?
Costco said “Margin” 13 times on its Sep 24, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), and on each of its last 8 calls: 18, 11, 21, 16, 8, 19, 22, 13 times.
How often does Costco say “Margin”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Costco said “Margin” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 25, 2025.
What is the probability Costco says “Margin” next time?
96%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Costco: ‘Margin’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/COST/words/margin (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=costco&word=margin · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=costco&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP