Will Costco say “Black Friday”?

Costco did not say “Black Friday” on its Sep 24, 2026 call (FY26 Q4); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 2, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Costco said “Black Friday” on the only call with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market so far, on Dec 11, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 36% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

36%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=costco&word=black%20friday

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Costco

Black Friday

Probability
36% · n=1
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last calls
said in 2 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q4 earnings call, Sep 24, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q3 earnings call, May 28, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q2 earnings call, Mar 5, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q1 earnings call, Dec 11, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Gary MillerchipcompanypreparedIn transcript

…Halloween, selling 358,000 whole pizzas, an increase of 31% versus last year. Black Friday was a record-breaking day for our US e-business, generating over $250…

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Sep 25, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, May 29, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Mar 6, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Dec 12, 2024 · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

2 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Gary MillerchipcompanypreparedIn transcript

…items. And Costco Next accurate marketplace achieved record sales over the Thanksgiving Black Friday, and Cyber Monday sales period. In closing, let me provide a…

Gary MillerchipcompanyqaIn transcript

…from the holiday season in the same way there is here around Black Friday. And so there are nuances like that that we see in…

Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Dec 11, 2025Black FridayPolymarketYes1
Dec 11, 2025Black FridayKalshiYes1

Questions

How many times did Costco say “Black Friday” on its last earnings call?
Costco did not say “Black Friday” on its Sep 24, 2026 call (FY26 Q4); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 2, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0 times.
How often does Costco say “Black Friday”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Costco said “Black Friday” on the only call with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market so far, on Dec 11, 2025.
What is the probability Costco says “Black Friday” next time?
36%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Costco: ‘Black Friday’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/COST/words/black-friday (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=costco&word=black%20friday · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=costco&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP