Will Cava say “Tariff”?

Cava did not say “Tariff” on its Aug 11, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 1, 3, 1, 1, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Cava said “Tariff” on 2 of 4 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 4, 2025 (50%), most recently on Feb 24, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 35% (n=4, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

35%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=4Next: Earnings call, Nov 3, 2026 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
10¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Cava

Tariff

Probability
35% · n=4
Settled
2/4 (50%)
Last calls
said in 4 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Aug 11, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q1 earnings call, May 19, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 24, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Tricia TolivarcompanypreparedIn transcript

…basis point increase from the fourth quarter of 2024. This increase reflects tariffs and our limited time-only Chicken Shawarma offering. CAVA labor and related costs…

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Nov 4, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Tricia TolivarcompanypreparedIn transcript

…2024 by 20 basis points. This slight increase reflects the impact of tariffs and our limited time-only chicken shawarma offering. CAVA labor and related costs…

FY25 Q2 earnings call, Aug 13, 2025 · said 3 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

3 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A).

Tricia K. TolivarcompanyqaIn transcript

…and this isn't really to your specific question, but changes in the tariff situation are very fluid. They're happening all the time. So as we…

Tricia K. TolivarcompanyqaIn transcript

…invest in new restaurants. The team has done an outstanding job navigating tariffs, both on the supply chain side as well as the design, development…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q1 earnings call, May 15, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Feb 25, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q3 earnings call, Nov 12, 2024 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 6 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Aug 11, 2026TariffPolymarketNo0
Aug 11, 2026TariffKalshiNo0
May 19, 2026TariffKalshiNo0
Feb 24, 2026TariffKalshiYes1
Nov 4, 2025TariffPolymarketYes1
Nov 4, 2025TariffKalshiYes1

Questions

How many times did Cava say “Tariff” on its last earnings call?
Cava did not say “Tariff” on its Aug 11, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 1, 3, 1, 1, 0, 0 times.
How often does Cava say “Tariff”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Cava said “Tariff” on 2 of 4 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 4, 2025 (50%), most recently on Feb 24, 2026.
What is the probability Cava says “Tariff” next time?
35%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Cava: ‘Tariff’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/CAVA/words/tariff (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=cava&word=tariff · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=cava&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP