Will Cava say “Headwind”?

Cava said “Headwind” 1 time on its Aug 11, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 7 of its last 8 calls: 1, 0, 2, 3, 3, 4, 2, 1 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Cava said “Headwind” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 19, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 82% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

82%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Cava

Headwind

Probability
82% · n=1
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last calls
said in 7 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Aug 11, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Tricia TolivarcompanyqaIn transcript

…dip down a little bit, and are a little bit of a headwind in their first year after opening, but then rebound very nicely and…

FY26 Q1 earnings call, May 19, 2026 · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Tricia TolivarcompanypreparedIn transcript

…strength of our business and incorporates a 20 to 40 basis point headwind to capture a more cautious view on elevated energy cost impacts given…

Tricia TolivarcompanypreparedIn transcript

…we introduced salmon nationally, which we expect to be a margin rate headwind of approximately 100 basis points. Reopening expenses reflect increased investments in operator…

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 24, 2026 · said 4 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

4 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A).

Tricia TolivarcompanypreparedIn transcript

…in the second quarter, we expect salmon to be a margin rate headwind of approximately 100 basis points, while pricing will drive penny profit neutrality.…

Tricia TolivarcompanyqaIn transcript

…called out, those restaurants have been performing very well and provided some headwinds. So as they came into the base in 2025. Those were not…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Nov 4, 2025 · said 3 times (counts)

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Aug 13, 2025 · said 3 times (counts)

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, May 15, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Feb 25, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q3 earnings call, Nov 12, 2024 · said 1 time (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
May 19, 2026HeadwindKalshiYes2

Questions

How many times did Cava say “Headwind” on its last earnings call?
Cava said “Headwind” 1 time on its Aug 11, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 7 of its last 8 calls: 1, 0, 2, 3, 3, 4, 2, 1 times.
How often does Cava say “Headwind”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Cava said “Headwind” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 19, 2026.
What is the probability Cava says “Headwind” next time?
82%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Cava: ‘Headwind’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/CAVA/words/headwind (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=cava&word=headwind · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=cava&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP