Will BlackRock say “ETF Inflow”?
BlackRock did not say “ETF Inflow” on its Oct 14, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, BlackRock said “ETF Inflow” on 1 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 14, 2025 (33%), most recently on Oct 14, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 16% (n=3, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 6¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
BlackRock
ETF Inflow
- Probability
- 16% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
- Last calls
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…by Rick Reeder and the fundamental teams, $13 billion plus. Our active ETF inflows are over $40 billion. So there's a proven track record that…
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | ETF Inflow |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jan 15, 2026 | ETF Inflow |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Jan 15, 2026 | ETF Inflow | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Oct 14, 2025 | ETF inflow | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
Questions
- How many times did BlackRock say “ETF Inflow” on its last earnings call?
- BlackRock did not say “ETF Inflow” on its Oct 14, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0 times.
- How often does BlackRock say “ETF Inflow”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, BlackRock said “ETF Inflow” on 1 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 14, 2025 (33%), most recently on Oct 14, 2025.
- What is the probability BlackRock says “ETF Inflow” next time?
- 16%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “BlackRock: ‘ETF Inflow’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/BLK/words/etf-inflow (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=blackrock&word=etf%20inflow · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=blackrock&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP