Alibaba (BABA)
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi has settled 15 word markets on Alibaba’s earnings calls since 2025, on 15 different words.
History Wall
1–15 of 15, most settled first| Word | Q2’25Nov '24 | Q3’25Feb '25 | Q4’25May '25 | Q1’26Aug '25 | Q2’26Nov '25 | Q3’26Mar '26 | Q4’26May '26 | Q1’27last call | Trend | Last 8 | Scripted | All-time | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 39 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q2’25 Nov '24, counts as said | 80 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q3’25 Feb '25, counts as said | 56 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q4’25 May '25, counts as said | 74 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q1’26 Aug '25, counts as said | 57 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q2’26 Nov '25, counts as said | 91 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q3’26 Mar '26, counts as said | 68 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q4’26 May '26, counts as said | 110 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q1’27 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 33/4869% | 96%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| International e-commerce | 1 time: International e-commerce, Q2’25 Nov '24, counts as said | 2 times: International e-commerce, Q3’25 Feb '25, counts as said | 1 time: International e-commerce, Q4’25 May '25, counts as said | 0 times: International e-commerce, Q1’26 Aug '25 | 0 times: International e-commerce, Q2’26 Nov '25 | 0 times: International e-commerce, Q3’26 Mar '26 | 0 times: International e-commerce, Q4’26 May '26 | 4 times: International e-commerce, Q1’27 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 4/850% | 4/850% | 6/4812% | 59%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Investor | 2 times: Investor, Q2’25 Nov '24, counts as said | 2 times: Investor, Q3’25 Feb '25, counts as said | 2 times: Investor, Q4’25 May '25, counts as said | 1 time: Investor, Q1’26 Aug '25, counts as said | 1 time: Investor, Q2’26 Nov '25, counts as said | 2 times: Investor, Q3’26 Mar '26, counts as said | 1 time: Investor, Q4’26 May '26, counts as said | 2 times: Investor, Q1’27 Aug '26, counts as said | steady | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 42/4888% | 78%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Logistics / Logistical | 3 times: Logistics / Logistical, Q2’25 Nov '24, counts as said | 1 time: Logistics / Logistical, Q3’25 Feb '25, counts as said | 1 time: Logistics / Logistical, Q4’25 May '25, counts as said | 5 times: Logistics / Logistical, Q1’26 Aug '25, counts as said | 5 times: Logistics / Logistical, Q2’26 Nov '25, counts as said | 3 times: Logistics / Logistical, Q3’26 Mar '26, counts as said | 3 times: Logistics / Logistical, Q4’26 May '26, counts as said | 2 times: Logistics / Logistical, Q1’27 Aug '26, counts as said | steady | 8/8100% | 6/875% | 46/4896% | 86%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation | 0 times: Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation, Q2’25 Nov '24 | 0 times: Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation, Q3’25 Feb '25 | 1 time: Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation, Q4’25 May '25, counts as said | 0 times: Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation, Q1’26 Aug '25 | 0 times: Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation, Q2’26 Nov '25 | 0 times: Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation, Q3’26 Mar '26 | 0 times: Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation, Q4’26 May '26 | 0 times: Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation, Q1’27 Aug '26 | steady | 1/812% | 1/812% | 17/4835% | 22%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Ant Group Restructuringnever said | 0 times: Ant Group Restructuring, Q2’25 Nov '24 | 0 times: Ant Group Restructuring, Q3’25 Feb '25 | 0 times: Ant Group Restructuring, Q4’25 May '25 | 0 times: Ant Group Restructuring, Q1’26 Aug '25 | 0 times: Ant Group Restructuring, Q2’26 Nov '25 | 0 times: Ant Group Restructuring, Q3’26 Mar '26 | 0 times: Ant Group Restructuring, Q4’26 May '26 | 0 times: Ant Group Restructuring, Q1’27 Aug '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 0/480% | 13%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Cloud compute / Cloud Computing | 2 times: Cloud compute / Cloud Computing, Q2’25 Nov '24, counts as said | 10 times: Cloud compute / Cloud Computing, Q3’25 Feb '25, counts as said | 0 times: Cloud compute / Cloud Computing, Q4’25 May '25 | 3 times: Cloud compute / Cloud Computing, Q1’26 Aug '25, counts as said | 1 time: Cloud compute / Cloud Computing, Q2’26 Nov '25, counts as said | 10 times: Cloud compute / Cloud Computing, Q3’26 Mar '26, counts as said | 0 times: Cloud compute / Cloud Computing, Q4’26 May '26 | 4 times: Cloud compute / Cloud Computing, Q1’27 Aug '26, counts as said | steady | 6/875% | 6/875% | 44/4892% | 76%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Economic recovery | 0 times: Economic recovery, Q2’25 Nov '24 | 0 times: Economic recovery, Q3’25 Feb '25 | 0 times: Economic recovery, Q4’25 May '25 | 0 times: Economic recovery, Q1’26 Aug '25 | 0 times: Economic recovery, Q2’26 Nov '25 | 0 times: Economic recovery, Q3’26 Mar '26 | 0 times: Economic recovery, Q4’26 May '26 | 0 times: Economic recovery, Q1’27 Aug '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 3/486% | 13%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| ESG | 0 times: ESG, Q2’25 Nov '24 | 0 times: ESG, Q3’25 Feb '25 | 0 times: ESG, Q4’25 May '25 | 0 times: ESG, Q1’26 Aug '25 | 0 times: ESG, Q2’26 Nov '25 | 0 times: ESG, Q3’26 Mar '26 | 0 times: ESG, Q4’26 May '26 | 0 times: ESG, Q1’27 Aug '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 3/486% | 13%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| JD.comnever said | 0 times: JD.com, Q2’25 Nov '24 | 0 times: JD.com, Q3’25 Feb '25 | 0 times: JD.com, Q4’25 May '25 | 0 times: JD.com, Q1’26 Aug '25 | 0 times: JD.com, Q2’26 Nov '25 | 0 times: JD.com, Q3’26 Mar '26 | 0 times: JD.com, Q4’26 May '26 | 0 times: JD.com, Q1’27 Aug '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 0/480% | 13%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Live-stream / Livestream / Live stream | 0 times: Live-stream / Livestream / Live stream, Q2’25 Nov '24 | 0 times: Live-stream / Livestream / Live stream, Q3’25 Feb '25 | 0 times: Live-stream / Livestream / Live stream, Q4’25 May '25 | 0 times: Live-stream / Livestream / Live stream, Q1’26 Aug '25 | 0 times: Live-stream / Livestream / Live stream, Q2’26 Nov '25 | 0 times: Live-stream / Livestream / Live stream, Q3’26 Mar '26 | 0 times: Live-stream / Livestream / Live stream, Q4’26 May '26 | 0 times: Live-stream / Livestream / Live stream, Q1’27 Aug '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 8/4817% | 13%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Pinduoduonever said | 0 times: Pinduoduo, Q2’25 Nov '24 | 0 times: Pinduoduo, Q3’25 Feb '25 | 0 times: Pinduoduo, Q4’25 May '25 | 0 times: Pinduoduo, Q1’26 Aug '25 | 0 times: Pinduoduo, Q2’26 Nov '25 | 0 times: Pinduoduo, Q3’26 Mar '26 | 0 times: Pinduoduo, Q4’26 May '26 | 0 times: Pinduoduo, Q1’27 Aug '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 0/480% | 13%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Retail trend | 0 times: Retail trend, Q2’25 Nov '24 | 0 times: Retail trend, Q3’25 Feb '25 | 0 times: Retail trend, Q4’25 May '25 | 0 times: Retail trend, Q1’26 Aug '25 | 0 times: Retail trend, Q2’26 Nov '25 | 0 times: Retail trend, Q3’26 Mar '26 | 0 times: Retail trend, Q4’26 May '26 | 0 times: Retail trend, Q1’27 Aug '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 1/482% | 13%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Southeast Asia / SEA | 0 times: Southeast Asia / SEA, Q2’25 Nov '24 | 0 times: Southeast Asia / SEA, Q3’25 Feb '25 | 0 times: Southeast Asia / SEA, Q4’25 May '25 | 0 times: Southeast Asia / SEA, Q1’26 Aug '25 | 0 times: Southeast Asia / SEA, Q2’26 Nov '25 | 0 times: Southeast Asia / SEA, Q3’26 Mar '26 | 0 times: Southeast Asia / SEA, Q4’26 May '26 | 1 time: Southeast Asia / SEA, Q1’27 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 1/812% | 0/80% | 30/4862% | 28%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Singles Day | 0 times: Singles Day, Q2’25 Nov '24 | 0 times: Singles Day, Q3’25 Feb '25 | 0 times: Singles Day, Q4’25 May '25 | 0 times: Singles Day, Q1’26 Aug '25 | 0 times: Singles Day, Q2’26 Nov '25 | 0 times: Singles Day, Q3’26 Mar '26 | 0 times: Singles Day, Q4’26 May '26 | 0 times: Singles Day, Q1’27 Aug '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 8/4817% | 13%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
- times said on that call
- counted as said (ring)
- no call
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Trend
- how the count moved over these calls
- Scripted
- calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
- All-time
- every call on file
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 12Our transcript counts matched how 15 of 15 settled words resolved (100.0%). How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Earnings call FY27 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| May 13, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Mar 19, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Nov 25, 2025 | Earnings call FY26 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Earnings call FY26 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| May 15, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 15 | 5 yes · 10 no | 15/15 (100%) |
| Feb 20, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Nov 15, 2024 | Earnings call FY25 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Aug 15, 2024 | Earnings call FY25 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| May 14, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Feb 7, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Nov 16, 2023 | Earnings call FY24 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “Alibaba (BABA): earnings call word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/BABA (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/alibaba · words: /api/v1/history?entity=alibaba · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP