Will AutoZone say “Tax Refund”?

AutoZone did not say “Tax Refund” on its Sep 22, 2026 call (FY26 Q4); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 1, 0, 1, 4, 1, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, AutoZone did not say “Tax Refund” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 48% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

48%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1Next: Earnings call, Dec 8, 2026 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
18¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

AutoZone

Tax Refund

Probability
48% · n=1
Settled
0/1 (0%)
Last calls
said in 4 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q4 earnings call, Sep 22, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q3 earnings call, May 26, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Phil Danielecompanyprepared · 7:04Hear it 6:59, Phil Daniele In transcript

…the quarter, we felt we benefited marginally from higher than usual income tax refund season, along with share gains and solid execution. Regionally, our results…

Brian Nagelanalystqa · 36:52Hear it 36:46, Brian Nagel In transcript

…data, what gives you confidence that it was indeed cooler weather versus some type of scaling off, if you will, on the tax refund benefit?

Not counted under the usual rule (company speakers + operator); this word was not listed here.

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Mar 3, 2026 · said 4 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

4 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Philip DanielecompanypreparedIn transcript

…most volatile quarter as the impacts of weather and the timing of tax refunds can have an impact on our short-term results. With that said,…

Philip DanielecompanypreparedIn transcript

…We also feel the cold winter and potentially the size of the tax refund season could create upside for us with traffic over the remainder…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Dec 9, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Philip DanielecompanyqaIn transcript

…will say that generally, our Q2 ends right about the time of tax refund. So there can be some volatility on whether that ends up…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Sep 23, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, May 27, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Mar 4, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Dec 10, 2024 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Sep 22, 2026Tax RefundKalshiNo0

Questions

How many times did AutoZone say “Tax Refund” on its last earnings call?
AutoZone did not say “Tax Refund” on its Sep 22, 2026 call (FY26 Q4); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 1, 0, 1, 4, 1, 0 times.
How often does AutoZone say “Tax Refund”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, AutoZone did not say “Tax Refund” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 22, 2026.
What is the probability AutoZone says “Tax Refund” next time?
48%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “AutoZone: ‘Tax Refund’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/AZO/words/tax-refund (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=autozone&word=tax%20refund · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=autozone&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP