AST SpaceMobile (ASTS)
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi has settled 8 word markets on AST SpaceMobile’s earnings calls since 2026, on 8 different words. Next call: Nov 10, 2026 (12 words listed).
Next: Earnings call ·
12 words listed · Occasion page
Who counts: Kalshi: company speakers + operator
Kalshi| Word | Q3’24Nov '24 | Q4’24Mar '25 | Q1’25May '25 | Q2’25Aug '25 | Q3’25year ago | Q4’25Mar '26 | Q1’26May '26 | Q2’26last call | Trend | Last 8 | Scripted | All-time | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spectrum3+ times | 1 time: Spectrum (3+ times), Q3’24 Nov '24, below the threshold | 15 times: Spectrum (3+ times), Q4’24 Mar '25, counts as said | 30 times: Spectrum (3+ times), Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 41 times: Spectrum (3+ times), Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 55 times: Spectrum (3+ times), Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 37 times: Spectrum (3+ times), Q4’25 Mar '26, counts as said | 47 times: Spectrum (3+ times), Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 39 times: Spectrum (3+ times), Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 7/888% | 7/888% | 12/2060% | 93%transcripts from the transcript model | 93¢ Kalshi |
| BlueBird3+ times | 15 times: BlueBird (3+ times), Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 16 times: BlueBird (3+ times), Q4’24 Mar '25, counts as said | 11 times: BlueBird (3+ times), Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 14 times: BlueBird (3+ times), Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 18 times: BlueBird (3+ times), Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 23 times: BlueBird (3+ times), Q4’25 Mar '26, counts as said | 26 times: BlueBird (3+ times), Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 19 times: BlueBird (3+ times), Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 17/2085% | 91%transcripts from the transcript model | 94¢ Kalshi |
| Vodafone | 1 time: Vodafone, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 11 times: Vodafone, Q4’24 Mar '25, counts as said | 7 times: Vodafone, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 3 times: Vodafone, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 4 times: Vodafone, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 4 times: Vodafone, Q4’25 Mar '26, counts as said | 1 time: Vodafone, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 7 times: Vodafone, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | steady | 8/8100% | 7/888% | 18/2090% | 89%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 90¢ Kalshi |
| Verizon | 2 times: Verizon, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 8 times: Verizon, Q4’24 Mar '25, counts as said | 6 times: Verizon, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 1 time: Verizon, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 9 times: Verizon, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 2 times: Verizon, Q4’25 Mar '26, counts as said | 2 times: Verizon, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 2 times: Verizon, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | falling | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 10/2050% | 86%transcripts from the transcript model | 85¢ Kalshi |
| Unmodified | 2 times: Unmodified, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 4 times: Unmodified, Q4’24 Mar '25, counts as said | 3 times: Unmodified, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 3 times: Unmodified, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 2 times: Unmodified, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 2 times: Unmodified, Q4’25 Mar '26, counts as said | 4 times: Unmodified, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 2 times: Unmodified, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | steady | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 16/2080% | 85%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 84¢ Kalshi |
| AT&T | 3 times: AT&T, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 9 times: AT&T, Q4’24 Mar '25, counts as said | 6 times: AT&T, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 1 time: AT&T, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 4 times: AT&T, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 1 time: AT&T, Q4’25 Mar '26, counts as said | 2 times: AT&T, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 3 times: AT&T, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | falling | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 15/2075% | 82%transcripts from the transcript model | 86¢ Kalshi |
| New Glenn | 8 times: New Glenn, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 2 times: New Glenn, Q4’24 Mar '25, counts as said | 0 times: New Glenn, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: New Glenn, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 3 times: New Glenn, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 9 times: New Glenn, Q4’25 Mar '26, counts as said | 3 times: New Glenn, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 0 times: New Glenn, Q2’26 Aug '26 | falling | 5/862% | 3/838% | 6/2030% | 77%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 40¢ Kalshi |
| Golden Dome | 0 times: Golden Dome, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Golden Dome, Q4’24 Mar '25 | 4 times: Golden Dome, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 0 times: Golden Dome, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Golden Dome, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 2 times: Golden Dome, Q4’25 Mar '26, counts as said | 6 times: Golden Dome, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 1 time: Golden Dome, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 4/850% | 4/850% | 4/2020% | 74%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 67¢ Kalshi |
| FCC | 3 times: FCC, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 6 times: FCC, Q4’24 Mar '25, counts as said | 3 times: FCC, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 4 times: FCC, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 1 time: FCC, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 1 time: FCC, Q4’25 Mar '26, counts as said | 3 times: FCC, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 0 times: FCC, Q2’26 Aug '26 | falling | 7/888% | 6/875% | 16/2080% | 67%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 70¢ Kalshi |
| SpaceX | 4 times: SpaceX, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 1 time: SpaceX, Q4’24 Mar '25, counts as said | 0 times: SpaceX, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: SpaceX, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 2 times: SpaceX, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 0 times: SpaceX, Q4’25 Mar '26 | 4 times: SpaceX, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 0 times: SpaceX, Q2’26 Aug '26 | falling | 4/850% | 3/838% | 11/2055% | 48%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 52¢ Kalshi |
| Israel | 0 times: Israel, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Israel, Q4’24 Mar '25 | 0 times: Israel, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Israel, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 1 time: Israel, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 0 times: Israel, Q4’25 Mar '26 | 0 times: Israel, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: Israel, Q2’26 Aug '26 | steady | 1/812% | 0/80% | 1/205% | 22%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 25¢ Kalshi |
| BlackSkynever said | 0 times: BlackSky, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: BlackSky, Q4’24 Mar '25 | 0 times: BlackSky, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: BlackSky, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: BlackSky, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: BlackSky, Q4’25 Mar '26 | 0 times: BlackSky, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: BlackSky, Q2’26 Aug '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 0/200% | 13%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 15¢ Kalshi |
- times said on that call
- counted as said (ring)
- no call
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Trend
- how the count moved over these calls
- Scripted
- calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
- All-time
- every call on file
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Appearances and settled record
latest 12Our transcript counts matched how 8 of 8 settled words resolved (100.0%). How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| May 11, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Earnings call FY25 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 8 | 5 yes · 3 no | 8/8 (100%) |
| Nov 10, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Aug 12, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| May 12, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Mar 4, 2025 | Earnings call FY24 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Nov 14, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Aug 14, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| May 15, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Apr 1, 2024 | Earnings call FY23 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Nov 14, 2023 | Earnings call FY23 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “AST SpaceMobile (ASTS): earnings call word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/ASTS (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/ast-spacemobile · words: /api/v1/history?entity=ast-spacemobile · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP