Will Adobe say “Holiday”?
Adobe did not say “Holiday” on its Sep 10, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 2, 0, 0, 0, 2, 1, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Adobe said “Holiday” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 12, 2026 (50%), most recently on Mar 12, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 39% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Adobe
Holiday
- Probability
- 39% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last calls
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…in the agentic web. According to Adobe Digital Insights, during the 2025 holiday season, traffic to retail sites from LLMs increased nearly 7x, bringing qualified…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…shows that generative AI traffic is up 760% thus far, the 2025 holiday season. Our data shows that AI-powered traffic from LLMs and agentic browsers…
…enterprise across our combined offerings. So thank you for joining us. Happy holidays, and we look forward to continuing to execute against our strategy and…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…jumping 10.2% and 7.3% from last year, respectively. We expect the full holiday season to hit $240.8 billion, up 8.4% year-over-year. With the availability of…
…look forward to sharing more with you. At the end of our Q1, but in the interim, thank you for joining us. And happy holidays.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did Adobe say “Holiday” on its last earnings call?
- Adobe did not say “Holiday” on its Sep 10, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 2, 0, 0, 0, 2, 1, 0, 0 times.
- How often does Adobe say “Holiday”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Adobe said “Holiday” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 12, 2026 (50%), most recently on Mar 12, 2026.
- What is the probability Adobe says “Holiday” next time?
- 39%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Adobe: ‘Holiday’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/ADBE/words/holiday (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=adobe&word=holiday · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=adobe&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP