Will Adobe say “Firefly Video”?
Adobe did not say “Firefly Video” on its Sep 10, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 1, 3, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Adobe did not say “Firefly Video” at any of the 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Dec 10, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 30% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 40¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Adobe
Firefly Video
- Probability
- 30% · n=4
- Settled
- 0/4 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…be able to produce engaging short-form video ads using the commercially safe Firefly video model. We release capabilities for display ad campaigns, including on-brand image…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…4 Ultra for impeccable detail and complex visuals. We also made the Firefly video model generally available for the first time, empowering creators to generate…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
3 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…new creative categories like ideation. We recently introduced and incorporated our new Firefly video model into this offering, adding to the already supported image, vector…
…million social engagements in just two weeks. The release of the Adobe Firefly Video Model in February, a commercially safe generative AI video model, has…
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2026 | Firefly Video |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Firefly Video | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Mar 12, 2026 | Firefly Video | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Dec 10, 2025 | Firefly Video |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Dec 10, 2025 | Firefly Video | Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How many times did Adobe say “Firefly Video” on its last earnings call?
- Adobe did not say “Firefly Video” on its Sep 10, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 1, 3, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0 times.
- How often does Adobe say “Firefly Video”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Adobe did not say “Firefly Video” at any of the 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Dec 10, 2025.
- What is the probability Adobe says “Firefly Video” next time?
- 30%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Adobe: ‘Firefly Video’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/ADBE/words/firefly-video (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=adobe&word=firefly%20video · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=adobe&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP