todd-blanche "Midterm / Election" · key election|midterm · thr 1 · scope named · n 2 · y 2 · rate 1 · l10 YY · streak Y2 · last_y 2026-10-04 · tn 2 · th 1 · tx 2 tv_episode 2026-08-22..2026-10-04 · p 0.57 · p_src hist · next - · as_of 2026-10-24T14:16:44Z · CC BY 4.0 parrot.markets